Estadísticas / Fútbol / Germany. 2. Bundesliga / Preußen Münster vs SV Darmstadt 98

Preußen Münster vs SV Darmstadt 98 Statistics & Analysis

May 10, 2026 - 11:30
1 1.55
1 1.44
xG Accuracy: 76%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Preußen Münster Dibujar ✖ Incorrect
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "ab478e0337f81f45af5f5f94879d6fc3c26e7dafb247a135f29900c8ee838af7",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.44,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3397,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2722,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.94,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.67,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.58,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.55,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3881,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or SV Darmstadt 98",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "SV Darmstadt 98"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.44,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Preu\u00dfen M\u00fcnster",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0291,
        "edge_gap": 0.0475,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4166,
        "model_prob": 0.3875,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 34.0,
          "draw": 27.2,
          "home": 38.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.29
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.29,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Preu\u00dfen M\u00fcnster Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.4,
        "market_odds": 2.29,
        "model_odds": 2.58,
        "overround": 4.8,
        "prob_edge": -4.9,
        "value_pct": -11.2,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 10,
        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 76.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 78.8,
        "no_prob": 38.4,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 61.6,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 61.6
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.44,
        "home_expected": 1.55,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.7
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.1
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 7.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 7.2
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Preu\u00dfen M\u00fcnster or Draw",
            "prob": 66.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Preu\u00dfen M\u00fcnster or SV Darmstadt 98",
            "prob": 72.8
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or SV Darmstadt 98",
            "prob": 61.2
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Preu\u00dfen M\u00fcnster or SV Darmstadt 98",
        "pick_prob": 72.8
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 34.0,
        "draw_pct": 27.2,
        "home_pct": 38.8,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Preu\u00dfen M\u00fcnster"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.99,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.8,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 57.5,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 57.5,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.99,
        "under_prob": 42.5
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 11.0,
        "implied_prob": 24.5,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 27.2,
        "odds": 4.08
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.2
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.55,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0743,
        "ev_under": 0.0285,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0285,
        "over_prob": 57.5,
        "sort_key": 5222.8,
        "tier": "lean",
        "under_prob": 42.5,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0746,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4166,
        "max_ev": -0.0162,
        "model_prob": 0.3875,
        "side_label": "Preu\u00dfen M\u00fcnster",
        "sort_key": 1795.95,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.0208,
        "ev_yes": -0.0637,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": -0.0208,
        "no_prob": 38.4,
        "sort_key": 1794.8,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 61.6
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 813.6,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.2
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 181,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/181.webp",
      "away_team_name": "SV Darmstadt 98",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1388910,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 1313,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1313.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Preu\u00dfen M\u00fcnster",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 79,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/79.webp",
      "league_name": "2. Bundesliga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-08 11:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4436,
            "best_odd": 2.73,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0042,
            "ev": -0.0573,
            "implied_prob": 0.3495,
            "model_prob": 0.3401,
            "p_final": 0.3453
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1884,
            "best_odd": 4.08,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0073,
            "ev": -0.0162,
            "implied_prob": 0.2339,
            "model_prob": 0.2724,
            "p_final": 0.2411
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4303,
            "best_odd": 2.29,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0125,
            "ev": -0.0746,
            "implied_prob": 0.4166,
            "model_prob": 0.3875,
            "p_final": 0.4041
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.55,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.52,
          "edge_no": 0.0043,
          "edge_yes": -0.0043,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.0208,
          "ev_yes": -0.0637,
          "implied_no": 0.3797,
          "implied_yes": 0.6203,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.61,
          "best_under_odd": 2.42,
          "edge_over": -0.0211,
          "edge_under": 0.0211,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0743,
          "ev_under": 0.0285,
          "implied_over": 0.5961,
          "implied_under": 0.4039,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.99,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0285,
      "confidence": 4.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 4.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "high_scoring",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.616,
          "draw_prob": 0.2724,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3875,
          "over_prob": 0.575,
          "total_xg": 2.99,
          "under_prob": 0.425,
          "xg_diff": 0.11
        },
        "type": "high_scoring",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.0285,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.4039,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.425,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0125,
          "ev": -0.0746,
          "implied_prob": 0.4166,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.3875,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Preu\u00dfen M\u00fcnster"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0043,
          "ev": -0.0208,
          "implied_prob": 0.3797,
          "model_prob": 0.384,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0211,
          "ev": 0.0285,
          "implied_prob": 0.4039,
          "model_prob": 0.425,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1388910,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0285,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3401,
        "draw": 0.2724,
        "home": 0.3875
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "SV Darmstadt 98",
        "home": "Preu\u00dfen M\u00fcnster"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1388910,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-08T11:29:12.563390+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
2. Bundesliga 2. BundesligaClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 FC Schalke 04 33 20 7 6 67
2 SV Elversberg 33 17 8 8 59
3 Hannover 96 33 16 11 6 59
4 SC Paderborn 07 33 17 8 8 59
5 SV Darmstadt 98 33 13 13 7 52
6 Hertha BSC 33 14 9 10 51
7 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 15 4 14 49
8 1. FC Nürnberg 33 12 9 12 45
9 Karlsruher SC 33 12 8 13 44
10 VfL Bochum 33 10 11 12 41
11 Holstein Kiel 33 11 8 14 41
12 1. FC Magdeburg 33 12 3 18 39
13 Dynamo Dresden 33 10 8 15 38
14 Eintracht Braunschweig 33 10 7 16 37
15 Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 11 4 18 37
16 Arminia Bielefeld 33 9 9 15 36
17 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 9 7 17 34
18 Preußen Münster 33 6 12 15 30
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 SV Elversberg 33 61 39 +22 59
2 Hannover 96 33 57 41 +16 59
3 SV Darmstadt 98 33 57 43 +14 52
4 SC Paderborn 07 33 57 45 +12 59
5 Dynamo Dresden 33 52 52 0 38
6 1. FC Magdeburg 33 52 57 -5 39
7 Karlsruher SC 33 52 62 -10 44
8 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 51 47 +4 49
9 FC Schalke 04 33 49 31 +18 67
10 VfL Bochum 33 47 46 +1 41
11 Arminia Bielefeld 33 47 50 -3 36
12 Hertha BSC 33 46 38 +8 51
13 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 46 68 -22 34
14 1. FC Nürnberg 33 44 42 +2 45
15 Holstein Kiel 33 43 46 -3 41
16 Preußen Münster 33 38 58 -20 30
17 Eintracht Braunschweig 33 36 53 -17 37
18 Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 33 50 -17 37
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- Pts
1 SC Paderborn 07 33 56.3 36.5 +19.8 59
2 FC Schalke 04 33 49.1 30.0 +19.1 67
3 Hannover 96 33 52.2 36.8 +15.4 59
4 SV Elversberg 33 49.5 37.0 +12.5 59
5 1. FC Magdeburg 33 51.5 44.5 +7.0 39
6 VfL Bochum 33 50.7 45.7 +5.0 41
7 1. FC Nürnberg 33 44.6 41.1 +3.5 45
8 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 44.9 43.0 +1.9 49
9 SV Darmstadt 98 33 50.5 50.0 +0.5 52
10 Arminia Bielefeld 33 45.2 44.8 +0.4 36
11 Dynamo Dresden 33 42.4 42.9 -0.5 38
12 Hertha BSC 33 43.4 46.3 -2.9 51
13 Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 39.6 47.4 -7.8 37
14 Eintracht Braunschweig 33 36.4 46.3 -9.9 37
15 Holstein Kiel 33 40.0 52.2 -12.2 41
16 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 37.4 50.6 -13.2 34
17 Preußen Münster 33 36.4 53.8 -17.4 30
18 Karlsruher SC 33 39.5 60.6 -21.1 44