Coruña vs Viveiro Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Coruña
Final Score
1 – 2
(HT 0-1)
Viveiro
Kick-off 10:30

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Coruña opened at -0.25 against Viveiro in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1. The current market consensus is -0.25, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 2 of 2 valid books, with 100% agreement.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.14
Coruña -0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.38 / 1.22
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Coruña -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 2 / 2 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.11
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.11 AH points more toward Viveiro than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

The current market does not provide sufficient validation for a tradable signal.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 valid books · 100% agreement · Insufficient

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → -0.25
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
-0.25
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:00
Opening
-0.25
06:00
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
10:29
PRE1
-0.25
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.72 / 2.83 -0.25 1.73 / 2.81 -0.25 0
1xBet -0.25 1.74 / 2.83 -0.25 1.74 / 2.81 -0.25 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.10 8.10
-1.00 3.14 6.95
-0.75 2.35 4.30
-0.25 1.74 2.81
0 1.47 2.41
+0.25 1.33 1.92
+0.75 1.15 1.47
+1.00 1.04 1.27
+1.50 1.02 1.16

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.10 8.10
-1.00 3.14 6.95
-0.75 2.35 4.30
-0.25 1.73 2.81
0 1.47 2.41
+0.25 1.33 1.90
+0.75 1.15 1.47
+1.00 1.04 1.27
+1.50 1.02 1.16
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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