Göztepe vs Rizespor Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Göztepe
Final Score
2 – 2
(HT 1-0)
Rizespor
Kick-off 17:00 Stadium Gursel Aksel Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Göztepe opened at 0 against Rizespor in the Süper Lig. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 7 valid books, with 71% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.03
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.77 / 1.74
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Göztepe 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 7 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.03
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.03 AH points more toward Göztepe than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 7 valid books · 71% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
01:04
Opening
0
14:06
Last Pre-Match
0
17:00
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 3 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.73 / 2.04 0 1.86 / 1.87 0 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.75 / 2.12 0 1.93 / 1.97 0 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25 1.66 / 1.68 +0.25 1.66 / 1.68 +0.25 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.02 / 2.42 0 1.88 / 1.92 0 +0.25
1xBet 0 1.79 / 2.12 0 1.94 / 1.94 0 0
Betano +0.25 1.57 / 1.75 +0.25 1.67 / 1.67 +0.25 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.99 / 2.34 0 1.82 / 1.85 0 +0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.00 9.10
-2.00 8.50 8.50
-1.75 5.85 5.90
-1.50 4.60 4.65
-1.25 4.24 4.30
-1.00 3.84 3.90
-0.75 2.88 2.88
-0.25 2.26 2.13
0 1.94 1.94
+0.25 1.59 1.70
+0.75 1.32 1.32
+1.00 1.18 1.18
+1.25 1.15 1.15
+1.50 1.12 1.13
+1.75 1.07 1.07

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.40 6.40
-1.50 5.00 5.00
-1.25 4.40 4.40
-1.00 4.00 4.00
-0.75 3.00 3.00
-0.50 2.50 2.50
-0.25 2.20 2.20
0 1.88 1.92
+0.25 1.65 1.65
+0.50 1.50 1.50
+0.75 1.38 1.38
+1.00 1.23 1.23
+1.25 1.20 1.20
+1.50 1.17 1.17
+1.75 1.12 1.12

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.42 2.46
-0.25 2.13 2.15
0 1.82 1.85
+0.25 1.60 1.61
+0.50 1.46 1.48

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.20 3.15
-0.50 2.60 2.57
-0.25 2.27 2.25
+0.25 1.67 1.67
+0.50 1.53 1.52
+0.75 1.39 1.38

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.00 9.10
-2.00 8.50 8.50
-1.75 5.85 5.90
-1.50 4.60 4.65
-1.25 4.25 4.30
-1.00 3.84 3.90
-0.75 2.88 2.88
-0.25 2.12 2.13
0 1.86 1.87
+0.25 1.59 1.60
+0.75 1.32 1.32
+1.00 1.18 1.18
+1.25 1.15 1.15
+1.50 1.12 1.13
+1.75 1.07 1.07

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.40 4.52
-0.75 3.21 3.27
-0.50 2.64 2.68
-0.25 2.29 2.33
0 1.93 1.97
+0.25 1.67 1.69
+0.50 1.52 1.53
+0.75 1.37 1.38
+1.00 1.23 1.24

SBO Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.21 2.25
+0.25 1.66 1.68
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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