Cadiz vs Leganes Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Cadiz
Oct 03, 2026 - 16:30
1.14 1.10
Leganes
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 6 books · 50% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Cadiz opened at 0 against Leganes in the Segunda División. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 6 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.03
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Cadiz 0
Model–Market Gap
0.03
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.03 AH points more toward Cadiz than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Cadiz 0
@ 2.35
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.03
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.95
Price Advantage
+20.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 6 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.80 / 1.93 0 2.02 / 1.73 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.04 / 1.83 0 2.04 / 1.83 — 0
Bet365 +0.25 1.60 / 1.65 -0.25 2.75 / 1.88 — -0.50
1xBet 0 1.84 / 2.01 0 2.08 / 1.78 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.87 / 1.50 +0.25 1.83 / 1.52 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.59 / 1.90 -0.25 2.47 / 1.97 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.03
xG 1.14 / 1.10 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.04
Cadiz @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.95
Cadiz @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.04 vs 1.95
Market price is 4.6% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 10.50 9.20
-1.75 8.45 7.33
-1.50 6.20 5.00
-1.25 5.69 4.54
-1.00 5.15 4.05
-0.75 3.44 2.84
-0.25 2.47 2.02
0 2.08 1.78
+0.25 1.66 1.57
+0.75 1.33 1.23
+1.00 1.17 1.10
+1.25 1.13 1.08
+1.50 1.10 1.06

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.50 4.25
-1.25 7.00 3.80
-1.00 6.40 3.45
-0.75 4.10 2.50
-0.50 3.30 2.15
-0.25 2.75 1.88
0 2.35 1.58
+0.25 1.92 1.42
+0.50 1.68 1.32
+0.75 1.50 1.23
+1.00 1.30 1.12
+1.25 1.25 1.10
+1.50 1.21 1.15

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.74 2.29
-0.25 2.47 1.97
0 2.07 1.65
+0.25 1.72 1.46
+0.50 1.53 1.38

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.85 2.85
-0.50 3.05 2.35
-0.25 2.62 2.02
+0.25 1.83 1.52
+0.50 1.62 1.40
+0.75 1.45 1.28

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.50 6.75
-1.50 6.20 5.00
-1.25 5.70 4.55
-1.00 5.15 4.05
-0.75 3.44 2.84
-0.25 2.34 2.02
0 2.02 1.73
+0.25 1.66 1.49
+0.75 1.33 1.23
+1.00 1.17 1.10
+1.25 1.13 1.08
+1.50 1.10 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.34 4.54
-0.75 3.61 3.19
-0.50 2.87 2.59
-0.25 2.46 2.21
0 2.04 1.83
+0.25 1.69 1.57
+0.50 1.52 1.43
+0.75 1.36 1.29
+1.00 1.21 1.16
Primary Bets
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