Böljan vs Åstorp Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Böljan
Final Score
0 – 1
(HT 0-0)
Åstorp
Kick-off 17:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Böljan opened at 0 against Åstorp in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
Böljan +0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.22 / 1.38
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Böljan 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 6 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.14
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.14 AH points more toward Åstorp than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Åstorp 0
@ 1.90
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.14
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.82
Price Advantage
+4.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:15
Opening
0
12:01
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.90 / 1.77 0 1.90 / 1.77 — 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.33 / 1.88 0 1.82 / 1.86 — +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.83 / 1.88 0 1.83 / 1.88 — 0
Bet365 0 1.92 / 1.88 0 1.90 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet 0 2.06 / 1.65 0 1.82 / 1.86 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.82 / 1.85 0 1.82 / 1.85 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.90 1.77

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.70 8.90
-2.00 9.00 9.30
-1.50 4.60 4.75
-1.25 4.20 3.90
-1.00 3.78 3.88
-0.75 2.83 2.87
-0.25 2.10 2.10
0 1.82 1.86
+0.25 1.59 1.64
+0.75 1.32 1.33
+1.00 1.18 1.19
+1.25 1.18 1.15
+1.50 1.12 1.13
+2.50 1.03 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.90 5.90
-1.50 4.40 4.40
-1.25 4.10 4.10
-1.00 3.70 3.70
-0.75 2.85 2.85
-0.50 2.38 2.38
-0.25 2.15 2.15
0 1.90 1.90
+0.25 1.68 1.68
+0.50 1.55 1.55
+0.75 1.40 1.40
+1.00 1.26 1.26
+1.25 1.23 1.23
+1.50 1.20 1.20
+1.75 1.13 1.13

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.12 2.14
0 1.82 1.85
+0.25 1.61 1.62

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.00 9.30
-1.50 4.60 4.75
-1.25 4.20 3.76
-1.00 3.78 3.88
-0.75 2.83 2.88
-0.25 2.07 2.10
0 1.82 1.86
+0.25 1.59 1.61
+0.75 1.32 1.33
+1.00 1.18 1.19
+1.25 1.19 1.15
+1.50 1.12 1.13

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.68 2.78
-0.50 2.29 2.36
-0.25 2.06 2.13
0 1.83 1.88
+0.25 1.62 1.66
+0.50 1.49 1.52
+0.75 1.36 1.38
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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