Assyriska FF vs AFC Eskilstuna Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Assyriska FF
Final Score
2 – 5
(HT 0-2)
AFC Eskilstuna
Kick-off 17:30 Stadium Sodertalje Fotbollsarena

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Assyriska FF opened at 0 against AFC Eskilstuna in the Ettan - Norra. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.33 / 1.27
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Assyriska FF 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.05
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.05 AH points more toward Assyriska FF than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:15
Opening
0
12:00
Last Pre-Match
0
17:29
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.83 / 1.82 0 1.83 / 1.82 0 0
Bet365 0 1.92 / 1.88 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 0
1xBet 0 1.72 / 2.00 0 1.83 / 1.82 0 0
BetVictor 0 1.84 / 1.83 0 1.84 / 1.83 0 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.50 8.50
-2.00 8.90 8.70
-1.75 5.95 5.84
-1.50 4.60 4.55
-1.25 4.20 4.14
-1.00 3.78 3.72
-0.75 2.83 2.78
-0.25 2.12 2.07
0 1.83 1.82
+0.25 1.61 1.60
+0.75 1.34 1.33
+1.00 1.20 1.19
+1.25 1.16 1.15
+1.50 1.13 1.13
+1.75 1.07 1.07
+2.50 1.03 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.90 5.90
-1.50 4.40 4.40
-1.25 4.10 4.10
-1.00 3.70 3.70
-0.75 2.85 2.85
-0.50 2.42 2.42
-0.25 2.15 2.15
0 1.90 1.90
+0.25 1.68 1.68
+0.50 1.52 1.52
+0.75 1.40 1.40
+1.00 1.26 1.26
+1.25 1.23 1.23
+1.50 1.20 1.20
+1.75 1.13 1.13

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.12 2.12
0 1.84 1.83
+0.25 1.62 1.62

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.90 8.70
-1.75 5.95 5.85
-1.50 4.60 4.55
-1.25 4.20 4.15
-1.00 3.78 3.72
-0.75 2.83 2.78
-0.25 2.10 2.07
0 1.83 1.82
+0.25 1.61 1.59
+0.75 1.34 1.33
+1.00 1.20 1.19
+1.25 1.16 1.15
+1.50 1.13 1.13
+1.75 1.07 1.07
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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