JäPS vs Haka Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

JäPS
Final Score
1 – 2
(HT 0-1)
Haka
Kick-off 15:30

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

JäPS opened at -0.75 against Haka in the Ykkösliiga. Pinnacle's current reference line is -0.50.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.33 / 1.27
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
—
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.75 · 2 / 4 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
—
No valid tradable market line
3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No tradable main line at the time of the decision.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
—
No bookmaker currently offers a valid two-way pricing main.

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.75 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:26
Opening
-0.75
02:26
Last Pre-Match
-0.75
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.50
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.75
Sharp Consensus
-0.50
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.75 5.20 / 1.83 -0.75 5.20 / 1.83 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.50 4.08 / 1.72 -0.50 4.08 / 1.72 — 0
1xBet -0.75 5.20 / 1.83 -0.75 5.20 / 1.83 — 0
Superbet +0.50 1.92 / 1.19 +0.50 1.92 / 1.19 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main —

AH Home Away
-1.50 9.00 2.78
-1.00 8.10 2.18
-0.75 5.20 1.83
-0.25 3.50 1.46
0 3.08 1.28
+0.25 2.38 1.22
+0.75 1.79 1.10
+1.00 1.58 1.02

Marathonbet Main —

AH Home Away
-1.50 9.00 2.78
-1.00 8.10 2.18
-0.75 5.20 1.83
-0.25 3.50 1.46
0 3.08 1.28
+0.25 2.38 1.22
+0.75 1.79 1.10
+1.00 1.58 1.02

Pinnacle Main —

AH Home Away
-0.50 4.08 1.72
-0.25 3.81 1.52
0 3.33 1.31
+0.25 2.50 1.25
+0.50 2.10 1.22

Superbet Main —

AH Home Away
-0.50 3.65 1.70
+0.50 1.92 1.19
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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