Argentino Quilmes vs Comunicaciones Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Argentino Quilmes
Final Score
0 – 0
(HT 0-0)
Comunicaciones
Kick-off 18:00 Stadium Barranca Quilmena stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Argentino Quilmes opened at -0.25 against Comunicaciones in the Primera B Metropolitana. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Comunicaciones from the opening line. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.32 / 1.28
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Argentino Quilmes 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Argentino Quilmes than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Argentino Quilmes 0
@ 2.00
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.04
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.95
Price Advantage
+2.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
04:09
Opening
-0.25
18:00
Last Pre-Match
0
17:59
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.43 / 1.96 0 1.90 / 1.76 0 +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.95 / 1.81 0 1.97 / 1.82 0 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.60 / 2.05 0 2.00 / 1.80 0 +0.25
1xBet -0.25 2.46 / 1.96 0 1.90 / 1.76 0 +0.25
BetVictor -0.25 2.20 / 1.78 -0.25 2.08 / 1.92 -0.25 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.60 7.90
-1.50 6.55 5.95
-1.25 6.04 5.44
-1.00 5.50 4.95
-0.75 3.50 3.20
-0.25 2.35 2.15
0 1.90 1.76
+0.25 1.56 1.49
+0.75 1.26 1.22
+1.00 1.11 1.08
+1.25 1.08 1.06
+1.50 1.07 1.05

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 7.00 6.25
-1.25 6.60 5.75
-1.00 5.90 5.25
-0.75 3.70 3.45
-0.50 2.85 2.68
-0.25 2.42 2.25
0 2.00 1.80
+0.25 1.62 1.52
+0.50 1.45 1.40
+0.75 1.30 1.26
+1.00 1.16 1.13
+1.25 1.14 1.11
+1.50 1.12 1.10

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.90 2.70
-0.50 2.39 2.23
-0.25 2.08 1.92
0 1.73 1.61
+0.25 1.47 1.39
+0.50 1.33 1.28
+0.75 1.20 1.17

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.70 7.90
-1.50 6.55 5.95
-1.25 6.05 5.45
-1.00 5.50 4.95
-0.75 3.50 3.20
-0.25 2.33 2.15
0 1.90 1.76
+0.25 1.56 1.48
+0.75 1.26 1.22
+1.00 1.11 1.08
+1.25 1.08 1.06
+1.50 1.07 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.72 3.38
-0.50 2.90 2.69
-0.25 2.46 2.27
0 1.97 1.82
+0.25 1.60 1.52
+0.50 1.42 1.37
+0.75 1.28 1.24
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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