Consensus
?Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains.
Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
1 / 1 books · 100% agreement
· Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main
Asian Handicap Market Summary
Tristan Suarez opened at -0.25 against Quilmes in the Primera Nacional. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 1 of 1 valid books, with 100% agreement.
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Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.18
Tristan Suarez -0.18
Model pricing view — not a bet.
Model fair line is toward the home team.
Market
Tradable Consensus
Tristan Suarez -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.07
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25
· 1 / 1 books
· Strong
Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.
Model prices the match 0.07 AH points more toward Quilmes than the current market.
Decision
WAIT
The current market does not provide sufficient validation for a tradable signal.
Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
1 / 1 valid books · 100% agreement · Insufficient
Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
No sharp books on this market.
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book
Opening
Open H / A
Current
Cur H / A
Closing
Line Move
Betano
-0.25
1.83 / 3.15
-0.25
1.83 / 3.15
—
0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.18
xG 1.40 / 1.20 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.83
Tristan Suarez @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.09
Tristan Suarez @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.83 vs 2.09
Market price is 12.4% below model fair price.
Not betting EV
The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.
Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.
Betano
Main -0.25
AH
Home
Away
-0.25
1.83
3.15
+0.25
1.33
1.90
Match Prediction
Explore the AI prediction for this match, including Final Verdict and market decisions.
