Ranheim vs Egersund Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Ranheim
Oct 02, 2026 - 17:00
1.28 1.32
Egersund
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Ranheim opened at -0.25 against Egersund in the 1. Division. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Ranheim -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.29
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.29 AH points more toward Egersund than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Egersund +0.25
@ 2.70
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.29
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.70
Price Advantage
+58.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.79 / 2.46 -0.25 1.75 / 2.52 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.85 / 2.60 -0.25 1.81 / 2.70 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.85 / 2.60 -0.25 1.80 / 2.60 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.83 / 2.46 -0.25 1.79 / 2.52 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.50 / 1.91 -0.25 1.83 / 2.50 — -0.50
BetVictor -0.25 1.77 / 2.54 -0.25 1.75 / 2.58 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
xG 1.28 / 1.32 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.81
Ranheim @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.42
Ranheim @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.81 vs 2.42
Market price is 25.2% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 6.05 9.90
-2.00 5.40 9.00
-1.75 4.00 7.37
-1.50 3.28 5.35
-1.25 2.97 5.00
-1.00 2.66 4.65
-0.75 2.21 3.42
-0.25 1.79 2.52
0 1.57 2.27
+0.25 1.42 1.93
+0.75 1.23 1.53
+1.00 1.12 1.37
+1.25 1.10 1.30
+1.50 1.09 1.25
+1.75 1.05 1.17
+2.00 1.02 1.09

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.25 7.00
-1.50 3.45 5.50
-1.25 3.10 5.00
-1.00 2.85 4.50
-0.75 2.35 3.45
-0.50 2.08 2.85
-0.25 1.80 2.60
0 1.62 2.25
+0.25 1.48 2.00
+0.50 1.40 1.72
+0.75 1.30 1.58
+1.00 1.19 1.40
+1.25 1.17 1.35
+1.50 1.15 1.30
+1.75 1.10 1.21

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.75 2.58
0 1.54 2.27
+0.25 1.43 1.93

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.83 2.50
+0.25 1.50 1.91

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.00 6.85
-1.50 3.28 5.35
-1.25 2.97 5.00
-1.00 2.66 4.65
-0.75 2.21 3.42
-0.25 1.75 2.52
0 1.57 2.27
+0.25 1.42 1.89
+0.75 1.23 1.53
+1.00 1.12 1.37
+1.25 1.10 1.30
+1.50 1.09 1.25
+1.75 1.04 1.17

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.30 3.68
-0.50 2.02 3.02
-0.25 1.81 2.70
0 1.57 2.37
+0.25 1.46 2.01
+0.50 1.37 1.78
+0.75 1.27 1.61
Primary Bets
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