Remo vs Santos Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Remo
Final Score
1 – 2
(HT 0-0)
Santos
Kick-off 21:30 Stadium Mangueirao

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Remo opened at 0 against Santos in the Serie A. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 7 valid books, with 71% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.19
Remo +0.19

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.10 / 1.31
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Remo 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 7 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.19
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.19 AH points more toward Santos than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Santos 0
@ 1.81
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.19
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.75
Price Advantage
+3.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 7 valid books · 71% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
04:01
Opening
0
20:05
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 3 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.88 / 1.86 0 2.02 / 1.73 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.08 / 1.79 0 2.11 / 1.81 — 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25 1.72 / 1.56 +0.25 1.72 / 1.56 — 0
Bet365 0 1.92 / 1.92 0 2.10 / 1.70 — 0
1xBet 0 1.93 / 1.91 0 2.08 / 1.78 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.67 / 1.65 +0.25 1.78 / 1.57 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.84 / 1.83 0 1.99 / 1.70 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.50 6.04
-1.50 5.70 4.65
-1.25 5.24 4.20
-1.00 4.75 3.78
-0.75 3.28 2.75
-0.25 2.44 2.01
0 2.08 1.78
+0.25 1.67 1.58
+0.75 1.35 1.25
+1.00 1.19 1.12
+1.25 1.15 1.09
+1.50 1.12 1.08
+1.75 1.06 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.25 4.65
-1.25 5.75 4.25
-1.00 5.25 3.80
-0.75 3.55 2.85
-0.50 3.00 2.38
-0.25 2.50 2.10
0 2.10 1.70
+0.25 1.78 1.50
+0.50 1.55 1.38
+0.75 1.40 1.27
+1.00 1.25 1.16
+1.25 1.21 1.14
+1.50 1.18 1.12

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.70 2.31
-0.25 2.36 2.01
0 1.99 1.70
+0.25 1.69 1.50
+0.50 1.52 1.39

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.60 2.92
-0.50 2.87 2.42
-0.25 2.50 2.10
+0.25 1.78 1.57
+0.50 1.60 1.45
+0.75 1.44 1.31

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.50 6.05
-1.50 5.70 4.65
-1.25 5.25 4.25
-1.00 4.75 3.80
-0.75 3.28 2.79
-0.25 2.32 2.01
0 2.02 1.73
+0.25 1.67 1.50
+0.75 1.34 1.25
+1.00 1.19 1.12
+1.25 1.15 1.09
+1.50 1.12 1.08
+1.75 1.06 1.03

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.31 4.17
-0.75 3.66 3.05
-0.50 2.93 2.52
-0.25 2.52 2.16
0 2.11 1.81
+0.25 1.75 1.57
+0.50 1.57 1.44
+0.75 1.41 1.31
+1.00 1.26 1.18

SBO Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.42 2.16
+0.25 1.72 1.56
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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