預測 / 足球 / Burkina-Faso. Ligue 1 / ASFA-Yennenga vs Comoé

預測審核： ASFA-Yennenga vs Comoé 預測、賠率與AI投注建議

ASFA-Yennenga ASFA-Yennenga
Sep 19, 2026 - 15:30
1 1.29
0 1.31
xG Accuracy: 64%
Comoé Comoé

The model missed the final outcome (ASFA-Yennenga win 1–0).

The model had projected Comoé at 35.6%, but the full-time result went the other way.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

預測評級 F

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 小於2.5球 (1 進球) ✔ 正確
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 否 ✖ 錯誤
  • 1X2 Comoé ASFA-Yennenga ✖ 錯誤
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ 正確

赛后洞察

有效之处

  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
  • Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins

失误之处

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • 1X2: model leaned Comoé; match finished ASFA-Yennenga

市场启示

The full-time result was ASFA-Yennenga win 1–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

預測時間線

此預測如何從預測轉變為全場回顧。

  1. Sep 19, 2026 · 01:55 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · ASFA-Yennenga 1.29 — Comoé 1.31
  2. Sep 19, 2026 · 15:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result ASFA-Yennenga win · 1–0
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

歷史快照

開賽時凍結 — 模型在比賽開始前的輸出。

歷史判決: Observe
歷史決策 No Primary Bet
結果 Missed
賽前指標（歷史背景）
預測可靠性 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
證據 ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Sep 19, 2026 · 01:55 UTC 快照 ID: dp-9579998

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 ASFA-Yennenga win · ASFA-Yennenga 1–0 Comoé
预测结果 ✖ Missed
决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

回顧常見問題

預測的準確性如何？
本頁面評估方向性市場（1X2、大小球 2.5、雙方進球）與全場比賽結果的對應情況。預測評級反映了這些追蹤市場中有多少與實際結果相符。
xG 準確性測量什麼？
xG 準確性比較模型賽前的預期進球數與實際比分 — 而非每個市場是否命中。即使方向性回顧表現強勁，xG 準確性得分也可能中等。
為什麼未能預測精確比分？
即使模型對比賽輪廓的解讀良好，精確比分的結果仍屬於低概率事件。我們會突出顯示主要的比分範圍作為參考；未命中精確賠率線並不會否定方向性回顧。
這是否改善了 AI 的記錄？
每場完成的比賽都會記錄在我們的驗證流程中。彙總的命中率和 CLV 研究會另行發布 — 本頁面為逐場比賽的審核記錄。

預測僅供參考。請負責任地投注並量力而行。過去的表現不保證未來的結果。

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Ligue 1
  • Fixture: ASFA-Yennenga vs Comoé
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): ASFA-Yennenga 1.29 — Comoé 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

相關預測

查看即將到來的 Ligue 1 比賽 追蹤 ASFA-Yennenga 下一場比賽預測 追蹤 Comoé 下一場比賽預測 查看今日足球預測

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Ligue 1 Ligue 1 — 積分榜
# 球隊（TEAM） 出賽場次（MP） 勝（W） 平局（D） 輸（L） 積分（PTS）
1 Rahimo 1 1 0 0 3
2 ASFA-Yennenga 1 1 0 0 3
3 USFA 1 1 0 0 3
4 Majestic 1 1 0 0 3
5 FocuSport 1 1 0 0 3
6 RCK 1 0 1 0 1
7 ASFB 1 0 1 0 1
8 Salitas 1 0 1 0 1
9 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 1
10 Sporting Cascades 1 0 1 0 1
11 CFFEB 1 0 1 0 1
12 Réal du Faso 1 0 0 1 0
13 SONABEL 1 0 0 1 0
14 Comoé 1 0 0 1 0
15 Douanes 1 0 0 1 0
16 Maya 1 0 0 1 0
# 球隊（TEAM） 出賽場次（MP） 進球（GS） 失球（GC） +/- 積分（PTS）
1 Rahimo 1 2 1 +1 3
2 RCK 1 2 2 0 1
3 ASFB 1 2 2 0 1
4 Salitas 1 2 2 0 1
5 Vitesse 1 2 2 0 1
6 ASFA-Yennenga 1 1 0 +1 3
7 USFA 1 1 0 +1 3
8 Majestic 1 1 0 +1 3
9 FocuSport 1 1 0 +1 3
10 Réal du Faso 1 1 2 -1 0
11 Sporting Cascades 1 0 0 0 1
12 CFFEB 1 0 0 0 1
13 SONABEL 1 0 1 -1 0
14 Comoé 1 0 1 -1 0
15 Douanes 1 0 1 -1 0
16 Maya 1 0 1 -1 0
Ligue 1 Burkina-Faso. Ligue 1 預測