預測 / 足球 / Gabon. Championnat D1 / Ogooue FC vs Bitam

預測審核: Ogooue FC vs Bitam 預測、賠率與AI投注建議

Jul 04, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.31
2 1.29
xG Accuracy: 76%

The model missed the final outcome (Bitam win 1–2).

The model had projected Ogooue FC at 35.6%, but the full-time result went the other way.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

預測評級 F

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (3 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 Ogooue FC Bitam ✖ 錯誤
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ 正確

赛后洞察

有效之处

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 3 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Exact score 1–2 fell within the model's highlighted bins

失误之处

  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (3 goals)
  • 1X2: model leaned Ogooue FC; match finished Bitam

市场启示

The full-time result was Bitam win 1–2, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

預測時間線

此預測如何從預測轉變為全場回顧。

  1. Jul 04, 2026 · 21:17 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Ogooue FC 1.31 — Bitam 1.29
  2. Jul 04, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Bitam win · 1–2
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

歷史快照

開賽時凍結 — 模型在比賽開始前的輸出。

歷史判決: Observe
歷史決策 No Primary Bet
結果 Missed
賽前指標(歷史背景)
預測可靠性 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
證據 ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Jul 24, 2026 · 19:10 UTC 快照 ID: dp-1628287

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 Bitam win · Ogooue FC 1–2 Bitam
预测结果 ✖ Missed
决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

回顧常見問題

預測的準確性如何?
本頁面評估方向性市場(1X2、大小球 2.5、雙方進球)與全場比賽結果的對應情況。預測評級反映了這些追蹤市場中有多少與實際結果相符。
xG 準確性測量什麼?
xG 準確性比較模型賽前的預期進球數與實際比分 — 而非每個市場是否命中。即使方向性回顧表現強勁,xG 準確性得分也可能中等。
為什麼未能預測精確比分?
即使模型對比賽輪廓的解讀良好,精確比分的結果仍屬於低概率事件。我們會突出顯示主要的比分範圍作為參考;未命中精確賠率線並不會否定方向性回顧。
這是否改善了 AI 的記錄?
每場完成的比賽都會記錄在我們的驗證流程中。彙總的命中率和 CLV 研究會另行發布 — 本頁面為逐場比賽的審核記錄。

預測僅供參考。請負責任地投注並量力而行。過去的表現不保證未來的結果。

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Championnat D1
  • Fixture: Ogooue FC vs Bitam
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-04 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 10.0%
  • xG (showing): Ogooue FC 1.31 — Bitam 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Championnat D1 Championnat D1 — 積分榜
# 球隊(TEAM) 出賽場次(MP) 勝(W) 平局(D) 輸(L) 積分(PTS)
1 Mangasport 26 20 1 5 61
2 Stade Mandji 26 17 4 5 55
3 Ogooue FC 26 13 5 8 44
4 Oyem AC 26 13 4 9 43
5 Vautour Club 26 12 7 7 43
6 Cercle Mbéri 26 11 9 6 42
7 US Oyem 26 10 7 9 37
8 FC 105 26 11 3 12 36
9 Pélican 26 9 5 12 32
10 Stade Migoveen 26 8 7 11 31
11 Bitam 26 9 4 13 31
12 Lozo 26 7 7 12 28
13 Bouenguidi 26 3 10 13 19
14 Dikaki 26 1 3 22 6
# 球隊(TEAM) 出賽場次(MP) 進球(GS) 失球(GC) +/- 積分(PTS)
1 Mangasport 26 50 18 +32 61
2 Stade Mandji 26 41 16 +25 55
3 Ogooue FC 26 39 25 +14 44
4 Oyem AC 26 38 25 +13 43
5 Pélican 26 34 33 +1 32
6 FC 105 26 33 36 -3 36
7 Vautour Club 26 31 22 +9 43
8 US Oyem 26 31 29 +2 37
9 Cercle Mbéri 26 30 20 +10 42
10 Bitam 26 28 49 -21 31
11 Lozo 26 22 27 -5 28
12 Stade Migoveen 26 21 29 -8 31
13 Bouenguidi 26 21 34 -13 19
14 Dikaki 26 17 73 -56 6