Predictions / Football / Spain. Copa del Rey / Alaves vs Real Sociedad

Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Feb 04, 2026 - 20:00 1H
1
1
43% 27% 30%
1X2 ✔ Alaves (Value)
Match: 42.7% Alaves; implied 31.8%; EV 6.6%
Primary: Alaves — Value · EV 6.6% · Model 42.7%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Over / Under 2.5 Lean
Over 2.5 58.1% · Under 2.5 41.9%
Value lean: Over 2.5
Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 61.7% · No 38.3%
Value lean: BTTS Yes
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 11.0%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Decision strength: 5.0 / 10
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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