Predictions / Football / Netherlands. U21 Divisie 1 / Cambuur U21 vs Groningen U21

Cambuur U21 vs Groningen U21 Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Cambuur U21 Cambuur U21
Jan 24, 2026 - 17:00
1.49
1.23
43% 25% 31%
Groningen U21 Groningen U21

Forecast Assessment

Reliable forecast

Favourite
Cambuur U21 Balanced match
Model probability
43.2%
Market probability
37.6%
Market agreement
Strong
Validation
Pass

Summary:

The model and market both lean Cambuur U21, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Groningen U21 remain plausible — this is a relatively open match.

Market Audit

Market agreement
Strong
Validation
Pass
Largest gap
Cambuur U21 +5.6 pp
Breadth
6/6
Current market activity
No meaningful directional movement yet.

Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.

Market Assessment

The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Cambuur U21.

  • Monitor line movement before kickoff — not a betting recommendation.
Outcome Fair Market Edge
Cambuur U21 43.23% 37.62% +5.6 pp
Draw 25.46% 25.84% -0.4 pp
Groningen U21 31.32% 36.55% -5.2 pp

Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.

Final betting verdict

No default bet at standard thresholds — use leans for context only.

  • No value on 1X2 (Cambuur U21 vs. current odds)
  • Model lean (not a default bet): Over 2.5
  • Model lean (not a default bet): BTTS Yes
  • Significant line move — see market context below.
Low conviction (4/10) — prefer smaller stakes or skip.
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1X2 ❌ No bet on 1X2 — no value vs. current odds on this market
Match: 43.2% Cambuur U21; Market consensus (3-way) 37.6%; Consensus-line EV -4.6%
No positive EV on tracked lines at current best odds.
⭐ Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 56.4% · No 43.6%
Value lean: BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Pass
Over 2.5 51.1% · Under 2.5 48.9%
Value lean: Over 2.5
1X2 Poor value
Cambuur U21 · Model probability 43.2%
Market consensus (3-way) 37.6%
Consensus-line EV: -4.6%
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 12.1%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (below +EV threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no tracked line reaches the engine’s minimum EV threshold for a default stake suggestion.
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.

Cambuur U21 market context before kickoff

◆ Efficient market on Cambuur U21

Odds move
2.35 → 2.35 (+0.0%)
Market breadth
6/6
Steam score
15 (C)
Current status
Market repriced — no remaining value detected on tracked lines at consensus.

Steam detected. Current price appears fully adjusted.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Decision Lifecycle

Current stage: Market monitoring

  1. Forecast Generated
  2. Market Compared
  3. Validation Passed
  4. Closing Recorded
  5. CLV Evaluated
Entry
2.39
Closing
Pending
CLV
Pending
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.2.0 Continuously refined using model performance, market data and historical results.
Check Odds at 1xBet
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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U21 Divisie 1 U21 Divisie 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Groningen U21 14 11 1 2 34
2 Feyenoord U21 14 7 2 5 23
3 Cambuur U21 14 7 1 6 22
4 Willem II U21 15 7 1 7 22
4 Willem II Tilburg U21 15 7 1 7 22
5 Twente / Heracles U21 14 6 2 6 20
6 De Graafschap U21 14 5 3 6 18
7 PEC Zwolle U21 14 5 0 9 15
8 Go Ahead Eagles U21 14 4 0 10 12
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Feyenoord U21 14 30 27 +3 23
2 Cambuur U21 14 29 22 +7 22
3 Twente / Heracles U21 14 29 26 +3 20
4 Groningen U21 14 28 11 +17 34
5 Willem II U21 15 27 25 +2 22
6 Willem II Tilburg U21 15 27 25 +2 22
7 PEC Zwolle U21 14 22 33 -11 15
8 De Graafschap U21 14 18 21 -3 18
9 Go Ahead Eagles U21 14 14 30 -16 12
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