Predictions / Football / Honduras. Liga Nacional / Génesis vs Atlético Choloma

Génesis vs Atlético Choloma Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Feb 01, 2026 - 21:00
1.49
1.23
43% 25% 31%
1X2 No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 43.2% Génesis; implied 53.0%; EV -18.0%
No positive EV on tracked lines at current best odds.
Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 44.6% · No 55.4%
Value lean: BTTS No
1X2 Poor value
Génesis · Model 43.2%
implied 53.0%
EV: -18.0%
Best line EV (1X2) -2.7%
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
2-1
Probability 9.5%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (no +EV at threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no line clears the minimum EV for a trade.
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Liga Nacional Liga NacionalStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 CD Olimpia 20 13 5 2 44
2 CD Marathon 20 12 6 2 42
3 CD Motagua 20 10 5 5 35
4 Platense FC 20 8 5 7 29
5 Real Espana 20 8 5 7 29
6 Olancho 20 6 9 5 27
7 Lobos Upnfm 20 6 8 6 26
8 Juticalpa 20 6 7 7 21
9 Génesis 20 4 6 10 18
10 Victoria 20 4 2 14 14
11 Atlético Choloma 20 3 2 15 11
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 CD Olimpia 20 45 27 +18 44
2 CD Marathon 20 41 15 +26 42
3 CD Motagua 20 39 32 +7 35
4 Olancho 20 38 30 +8 27
5 Platense FC 20 34 20 +14 29
6 Real Espana 20 29 22 +7 29
7 Génesis 20 29 35 -6 18
8 Juticalpa 20 28 42 -14 21
9 Lobos Upnfm 20 24 30 -6 26
10 Victoria 20 23 42 -19 14
11 Atlético Choloma 20 22 57 -35 11