Predictions / Football / Jamaica. Premier League / Spanish Town Police vs Mount Pleasant Academy

Spanish Town Police vs Mount Pleasant Academy Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Mar 08, 2026 - 20:30
1.49
1.23
43% 25% 31%
1X2 ✔ Spanish Town Police (Value)
Match: 43.2% Spanish Town Police; implied 4.2%; EV 77.6%
Primary: Spanish Town Police — Value · EV 77.6% · Model 43.2%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): Under 2.5 (EV 28.0%) — 51.8% Model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
Longshot — High risk value Draw (EV 8.6%) ; Model 25.5%
High variance — not for standard staking plan sizing.
Over / Under 2.5 Best value (+EV)
Over 2.5 48.2% · Under 2.5 51.8%
EV Over -28.18% · EV Under 27.95%
Value lean: Under 2.5
Both Teams To Score Poor value
Yes 31.7% · No 68.3%
EV Yes -11.56% · EV No -1.65%
Value lean: BTTS No
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
0-1
Probability 14.9%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Decision strength: 6.5 / 10
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -28.18% · EV Under 27.95% (5 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -11.56% · EV No -1.65%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Premier League Premier LeagueStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Montego Bay United 33 19 8 6 65
2 Mount Pleasant Academy 33 16 12 5 60
3 Racing United 33 13 16 4 55
4 Portmore United 33 14 13 6 55
5 Waterhouse 33 15 8 10 53
6 Cavalier 33 15 3 15 48
7 Arnett Gardens 32 12 7 13 43
8 Chapelton 33 12 7 14 43
9 Dunbeholden 32 11 8 13 41
10 Tivoli Gardens 32 10 11 11 41
11 Harbour View 33 7 11 15 32
12 Treasure Beach 32 6 12 14 30
13 Molynes United 33 4 15 14 27
14 Spanish Town Police 33 7 5 21 26
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Montego Bay United 33 66 34 +32 65
2 Mount Pleasant Academy 33 52 18 +34 60
3 Arnett Gardens 32 49 37 +12 43
4 Cavalier 33 47 38 +9 48
5 Racing United 33 46 25 +21 55
6 Portmore United 33 46 32 +14 55
7 Harbour View 33 46 62 -16 32
8 Waterhouse 33 40 28 +12 53
9 Dunbeholden 32 34 40 -6 41
10 Tivoli Gardens 32 32 41 -9 41
11 Treasure Beach 32 32 49 -17 30
12 Chapelton 33 29 38 -9 43
13 Molynes United 33 27 45 -18 27
14 Spanish Town Police 33 23 82 -59 26