Motorlet Praha vs Bohemians 1905 II Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Motorlet Praha

May 20, 2026 - 15:00

1.45

1.25

42% 26% 33%

Bohemians 1905 II

Betting Primary Pick (highest +EV)

BTTS No — Value

EV 6.6% Model 41.8%

Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).

Why The model prices Bohemians 1905 II (1X2) about 3.7 percentage points above closing implied — the main structural read vs. the line.

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), Bohemians 1905 II (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Bohemians 1905 II (1X2) by about 3.7 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Motorlet Praha (1X2)	41.8	46.8	-5.0
Draw (1X2)	25.7	24.4	+1.3
Bohemians 1905 II (1X2)	32.6	28.9	+3.7
Over 2.5 goals	57.7	60.5	-2.8
Under 2.5 goals	42.3	39.5	+2.8

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 32.6% on Bohemians 1905 II (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 28.9%. The difference — about 3.7 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE1)
Motorlet Praha (1X2)	1.93	1.93
Draw (1X2)	3.71	3.71
Bohemians 1905 II (1X2)	3.13	3.13
Over 2.5 goals	1.53	1.53
Under 2.5 goals	2.34	2.34

Over / Under 2.5 Lean

Over 2.5 57.7% · Under 2.5 42.3%

EV Over -11.72% · EV Under 1.52%

Value lean: Under 2.5

1X2 Poor value

Motorlet Praha · Model 41.8%

implied 46.8%

EV: -15.1%

Best line EV (1X2) -6.4%

Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun

Most Likely

1-1

Probability 11.2%

Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.

Betting decision (model vs. market EV)

Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).

Decision strength: 5.0 / 10

Primary line identified (+1.0)
Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)

O/U 2.5: EV Over -11.72% · EV Under 1.52% (8 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -12.12% · EV No 6.59%

Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.1.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Check Odds at 1xBet

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. liga - CFL A
Fixture: Motorlet Praha vs Bohemians 1905 II
Kickoff: 2026-05-20 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Motorlet Praha 1.45 — Bohemians 1905 II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS No
Model: 41.8% · Implied: 38.2% · Probability edge: +3.5 pts · Est. EV: +6.6%
BTTS (model): Yes 58.2% · No 41.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.2%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Best Bet + Reason

Primary angle highlighted on the page: BTTS No.

If 1X2 looks tight, the engine may still find clearer structure in totals or BTTS — that is intentional.

Edges shrink quickly if prices move; always re-check the number on your book.

FAQ

Who has the edge in the match-winner market?

Use the 1X2 model percentages in the summary and the 1X2 market card: the side with the highest model % is the model lean, but check EV — a lean can still be -EV after prices.

How should I read EV versus a probability gap?

Probability edge = model probability minus implied probability (reported here in percentage points). EV ≈ model probability × best tracked decimal odds − 1, shown as return per unit stake. They are related but not interchangeable labels.

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

What is the best-supported line in this snapshot?

Match the hero card above: if it says “Betting Primary Pick”, that leg cleared primary rules; if it says “Best +EV (tracked markets)”, it is the strongest +EV line that did not meet stricter Primary thresholds. The bullets below repeat the same model %, implied %, edge (pts), and EV % as that card.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 21, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this

Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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3. liga - CFL A — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Kladno	28	19	5	4	62
2	Jiskra Domažlice	28	18	3	7	57
3	Viktoria Plzeň II	28	16	7	5	55
4	Písek	28	12	7	9	43
5	Králův Dvůr	29	13	4	12	43
6	Admira Praha	27	12	6	9	42
7	Slavia III	28	12	5	11	41
8	Aritma Praha	29	10	11	8	41
9	Loko Vltavín	28	12	4	12	40
10	České Budějovice II	28	9	10	9	37
11	Příbram II	27	11	2	14	35
12	Bohemians 1905 II	28	9	7	12	34
13	Dukla Praha II	27	10	4	13	34
14	Motorlet Praha	27	8	7	12	31
15	Sokol Hostouň	29	7	10	12	31
16	Petřín Plzeň	28	6	4	18	22
17	Táborsko II	29	4	4	21	16

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Kladno	28	78	25	+53	62
2	Jiskra Domažlice	28	66	37	+29	57
3	Viktoria Plzeň II	28	65	43	+22	55
4	Králův Dvůr	29	52	51	+1	43
5	Bohemians 1905 II	28	51	50	+1	34
6	České Budějovice II	28	48	49	-1	37
7	Slavia III	28	47	40	+7	41
8	Dukla Praha II	27	42	48	-6	34
9	Písek	28	40	33	+7	43
10	Příbram II	27	40	50	-10	35
11	Aritma Praha	29	38	38	0	41
12	Admira Praha	27	36	34	+2	42
13	Petřín Plzeň	28	33	67	-34	22
14	Loko Vltavín	28	32	37	-5	40
15	Motorlet Praha	27	29	39	-10	31
16	Sokol Hostouň	29	28	41	-13	31
17	Táborsko II	29	25	68	-43	16