Predictions / Football / Czech-Republic. 3. liga - CFL B / Jablonec II vs Neratovice-Byškovice

Jablonec II vs Neratovice-Byškovice Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

May 28, 2026 - 15:00
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%

Final betting verdict

Different markets price efficiency differently — 1X2 can be a pass while goals markets still show edge.

  • No value on 1X2 (Jablonec II vs. current odds)
  • Possible value: Over 2.5 (+3.6% EV at best odds)
  • Possible value: BTTS No (+7.8% EV at best odds)
Moderate conviction (5.5/10) — one selective line, not a multi-market parlay.
Betting Primary Pick (highest +EV)
BTTS No — Value
EV +7.8% Model 42.1%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Over / Under 2.5 Model edge (+EV)
Over 2.5 66.0% · Under 2.5 34.0%
EV Over +3.6% · EV Under -15.3%
Value lean: Over 2.5
1X2 Poor value
Jablonec II · Model 41.8%
implied 46.1%
Main consensus market · EV: -15.0%
Best available bookmaker line: -6.5% EV
Some outlier bookmaker prices may still show small theoretical value vs. the consensus line above.
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 9.6%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Selective value — At least one tracked market may clear +EV at best odds, but conviction is limited (5.5/10) — size down.
Decision strength: 5.5 / 10
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over +3.6% · EV Under -15.3% (6 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -14.3% · EV No +7.8%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3. liga - CFL B
  • Fixture: Jablonec II vs Neratovice-Byškovice
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-28 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Jablonec II 1.45 — Neratovice-Byškovice 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS No
  • Model: 42.1% · Implied: 36.8% · Probability edge: +5.3 pts · Est. EV: +7.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 57.9% · No 42.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Best Bet + Reason

Primary pick from the decision engine: BTTS No.

We separate probability edge (model minus implied, in points of probability) from estimated EV (economic edge at the best price shown on the page).

No pick is a guarantee; variance is especially large in scoreline markets.

FAQ

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

Is the most likely correct score a good bet?

Usually no as a standalone bet: the “most likely” scoreline is still a low absolute probability tail event (often single digits, sometimes low teens). Use it as context; keep any correct-score stake in the “fun / small” bucket.

What is the best-supported line in this snapshot?

Match the hero card above: if it says “Betting Primary Pick”, that leg cleared primary rules; if it says “Best +EV (tracked markets)”, it is the strongest +EV line that did not meet stricter Primary thresholds. The bullets below repeat the same model %, implied %, edge (pts), and EV % as that card.

How should I read EV versus a probability gap?

Probability edge = model probability minus implied probability (reported here in percentage points). EV ≈ model probability × best tracked decimal odds − 1, shown as return per unit stake. They are related but not interchangeable labels.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 25, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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3. liga - CFL B 3. liga - CFL BStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kladno 30 21 5 4 68
2 Jiskra Domažlice 29 19 3 7 60
3 Viktoria Plzeň II 29 17 7 5 58
4 Písek 29 13 7 9 46
5 Aritma Praha 31 11 11 9 44
6 Králův Dvůr 30 13 4 13 43
7 Loko Vltavín 30 13 4 13 43
8 Admira Praha 29 12 6 11 42
9 Slavia III 29 12 5 12 41
10 České Budějovice II 29 10 10 9 40
11 Příbram II 30 12 2 16 38
12 Dukla Praha II 29 11 4 14 37
13 Bohemians 1905 II 29 9 8 12 35
14 Motorlet Praha 29 8 8 13 32
15 Sokol Hostouň 29 7 10 12 31
16 Petřín Plzeň 29 7 4 18 25
17 Táborsko II 30 4 4 22 16
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kladno 30 81 25 +56 68
2 Viktoria Plzeň II 29 70 46 +24 58
3 Jiskra Domažlice 29 69 39 +30 60
4 České Budějovice II 29 54 52 +2 40
5 Bohemians 1905 II 29 53 52 +1 35
6 Králův Dvůr 30 53 54 -1 43
7 Slavia III 29 50 45 +5 41
8 Dukla Praha II 29 45 49 -4 37
9 Písek 29 43 34 +9 46
10 Aritma Praha 31 43 43 0 44
11 Příbram II 30 43 54 -11 38
12 Admira Praha 29 39 43 -4 42
13 Petřín Plzeň 29 34 67 -33 25
14 Loko Vltavín 30 33 39 -6 43
15 Motorlet Praha 29 31 42 -11 32
16 Sokol Hostouň 29 28 41 -13 31
17 Táborsko II 30 25 69 -44 16