Predictions / Football / Israel. Liga Alef / Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Ironi Baka El Garbiya Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Mar 27, 2026 - 13:00
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Final betting verdict

No default bet at standard thresholds — use leans for context only.

  • No value on 1X2 (Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs. current odds)
  • Thin edge: Over 2.5 (+1.2% — below default sizing bar)
  • Thin edge: BTTS Yes (+1.0% — below default sizing bar)
Low conviction (4/10) — prefer smaller stakes or skip.
1X2 ❌ No bet on 1X2 — no value vs. current odds on this market
Match: 41.8% Ironi Baka El Garbiya; implied 44.8%; EV -12.4%
Small positive edge on a tracked line (~1.2%), below the 2.0% default betting threshold — no Primary pick.
⭐ Over / Under 2.5 Lean
Over 2.5 51.9% · Under 2.5 48.1%
EV Over +1.2% · EV Under -11.0%
Value lean: Over 2.5
Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 58.4% · No 41.6%
EV Yes +1.0% · EV No -18.9%
Value lean: BTTS Yes
1X2 Poor value
Ironi Baka El Garbiya · Model 41.8%
implied 44.8%
Main consensus market · EV: -12.4%
Best available bookmaker line: -6.8% EV
Some outlier bookmaker prices may still show small theoretical value vs. the consensus line above.
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 12.1%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (below +EV threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no tracked line reaches the engine’s minimum EV threshold for a default stake suggestion.
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: EV Over +1.2% · EV Under -11.0% (4 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes +1.0% · EV No -18.9%
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.1.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Check Odds at 1xBet
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Liga Alef Liga Alef — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 55
2 FC Jerusalem 22 11 4 7 37
3 Dimona 22 11 4 7 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 36
5 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 35
6 Tzeirey Tira 21 10 3 8 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 29
10 Maccabi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 28
11 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 24
12 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 24
13 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 23
14 Hapoel Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22
15 Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 22 5 5 12 19
16 Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat 21 53 18 +35 55
2 FC Jerusalem 22 45 29 +16 37
3 Maccabi Yavne 22 42 28 +14 36
4 Maccabi Ashdod 21 37 35 +2 28
5 Tzeirey Tira 21 33 24 +9 33
6 Holon Yermiyahu 22 30 33 -3 24
7 Dimona 22 29 30 -1 37
8 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 28 28 0 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 28 31 -3 29
10 Nordia Jerusalem 22 28 40 -12 15
11 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 22 27 27 0 35
12 Beitar Yavne 22 27 34 -7 30
13 Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 22 24 43 -19 19
14 Hapoel Herzliya 22 22 36 -14 22
15 Hapoel Marmorek 22 20 34 -14 24
16 Hapoel Azor 21 17 20 -3 23
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