Igman Konjic vs Bratstvo Gračanica Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Igman Konjic

May 24, 2026 - 15:30

1.45

1.25

42% 26% 33%

Bratstvo Gračanica

Best +EV (tracked markets)

BTTS No — Value

EV 2.7% Model 52.4%

Strongest +EV among tracked markets here; stricter Primary rules (e.g. minimum EV) were not met.

Over / Under 2.5 Poor value

Over 2.5 45.6% · Under 2.5 54.4%

EV Over -8.8% · EV Under -2.08%

Value lean: Under 2.5

1X2 Poor value

Igman Konjic · Model 41.8%

implied 48.6%

Main consensus market · EV: -16.5%

Best available bookmaker line: +-2.9% EV

Some outlier bookmaker prices may still show small theoretical value vs. the consensus line above.

Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun

Most Likely

1-1

Probability 12.7%

Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.

Betting decision (model vs. market EV)

Execution: No Primary / sized alternative at standard thresholds — other markets may still show +EV in the cards below.

Market insight: A small model–price gap may exist on marginal or high-variance legs — not a default bankroll bet; size down if you experiment. (Technical: at least one tracked line clears the +EV gate at ≥2.0% on best available odds — this does not imply a default bet.)

Decision strength: 4.0 / 10

Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)

O/U 2.5: EV Over -8.8% · EV Under -2.08% (4 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -9.08% · EV No 2.7%

Should you bet on this match? Discretionary read only: +EV may appear on thin or longshot legs; compare with your limits.

OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.1.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Check Odds at 1xBet

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 1st League - FBiH
Fixture: Igman Konjic vs Bratstvo Gračanica
Kickoff: 2026-05-24 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Igman Konjic 1.45 — Bratstvo Gračanica 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS No
Model: 52.4% · Implied: 48.6% · Probability edge: +3.8 pts · Est. EV: +2.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 47.6% · No 52.4%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.7%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Best Bet + Reason

Best current value angle on the board — same leg as the “Best +EV” hero when Primary rules are not met: BTTS No.

Model probability is compared to implied probability from odds to highlight a probability edge; EV uses the same model probability with the best decimal price tracked.

Edges shrink quickly if prices move; always re-check the number on your book.

FAQ

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

How should I read EV versus a probability gap?

Probability edge = model probability minus implied probability (reported here in percentage points). EV ≈ model probability × best tracked decimal odds − 1, shown as return per unit stake. They are related but not interchangeable labels.

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

Who has the edge in the match-winner market?

Use the 1X2 model percentages in the summary and the 1X2 market card: the side with the highest model % is the model lean, but check EV — a lean can still be -EV after prices.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 23, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this

Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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1st League - FBiH — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Čelik	23	15	7	1	52
2	Stupčanica Olovo	23	11	5	7	38
3	Jedinstvo Bihać	23	11	3	9	36
4	Radnik Hadžići	23	10	5	8	35
5	Sloboda Tuzla	23	10	4	9	34
6	TOŠK Tešanj	23	9	6	8	33
7	Travnik	23	9	6	8	33
8	GOŠK Gabela	23	9	6	8	33
9	Igman Konjic	23	9	4	10	31
10	Budućnost Banovići	23	7	6	10	27
11	Vitez	23	8	3	12	27
12	Bratstvo Gračanica	23	6	8	9	26
13	Tomislav	23	6	7	10	25
14	Tuzla City	23	5	2	16	17

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Čelik	23	44	17	+27	52
2	Stupčanica Olovo	23	37	22	+15	38
3	TOŠK Tešanj	23	31	25	+6	33
4	Travnik	23	30	24	+6	33
5	Radnik Hadžići	23	30	30	0	35
6	Sloboda Tuzla	23	29	27	+2	34
7	GOŠK Gabela	23	28	22	+6	33
8	Tomislav	23	28	32	-4	25
9	Igman Konjic	23	28	38	-10	31
10	Budućnost Banovići	23	26	28	-2	27
11	Vitez	23	24	31	-7	27
12	Jedinstvo Bihać	23	24	32	-8	36
13	Bratstvo Gračanica	23	22	26	-4	26
14	Tuzla City	23	19	46	-27	17