Predictions / Football / Bosnia. 1st League - FBiH / TOŠK Tešanj vs Stupčanica Olovo

TOŠK Tešanj vs Stupčanica Olovo Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

TOŠK Tešanj TOŠK Tešanj
Mar 29, 2026 - 13:30
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%
Stupčanica Olovo Stupčanica Olovo

Final betting verdict

Different markets price efficiency differently — 1X2 can be a pass while goals markets still show edge.

  • No value on 1X2 (TOŠK Tešanj vs. current odds)
  • Possible value: Over 2.5 (+13.9% EV at best odds)
  • Possible value: BTTS Yes (+24.0% EV at best odds)
  • Steam repriced this match — late money may have eaten remaining edge on the steamed side.
Moderate conviction (6.5/10) — one selective line, not a multi-market parlay.
Betting Primary Pick (highest +EV)
BTTS Yes — Value
EV +24.0% Model 63.6%
Steam vs. value
Market momentum is strong, but current odds may already be over-adjusted. Steam detected — model value on this line may be priced out.
This match appears on the market-movement board for aggressive line repricing — not because 1X2 is currently a positive-EV bet.
⚡ Sharp-led move · TOŠK Tešanj ↑ +30.2% · 2/7 · 59 B
Market steam Moderate
Current EV Negative
Closing line pressure High
Value remaining Limited
Secondary (balanced value): Over 2.5 (EV +13.9%) — 50.6% Model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
Over / Under 2.5 Best value (+EV)
Over 2.5 50.6% · Under 2.5 49.4%
EV Over +13.9% · EV Under -18.5%
Value lean: Over 2.5
1X2 Poor value
TOŠK Tešanj · Model 41.8%
implied 32.1%
Main consensus market · EV: -0.5%
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 12.2%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Decision strength: 6.5 / 10
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over +13.9% · EV Under -18.5% (6 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes +24.0% · EV No -34.1%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.1.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Check Odds at 1xBet
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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1st League - FBiH 1st League - FBiH — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Čelik 23 15 7 1 52
2 Stupčanica Olovo 23 11 5 7 38
3 Jedinstvo Bihać 23 11 3 9 36
4 Radnik Hadžići 23 10 5 8 35
5 Sloboda Tuzla 23 10 4 9 34
6 TOŠK Tešanj 23 9 6 8 33
7 Travnik 23 9 6 8 33
8 GOŠK Gabela 23 9 6 8 33
9 Igman Konjic 23 9 4 10 31
10 Budućnost Banovići 23 7 6 10 27
11 Vitez 23 8 3 12 27
12 Bratstvo Gračanica 23 6 8 9 26
13 Tomislav 23 6 7 10 25
14 Tuzla City 23 5 2 16 17
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Čelik 23 44 17 +27 52
2 Stupčanica Olovo 23 37 22 +15 38
3 TOŠK Tešanj 23 31 25 +6 33
4 Travnik 23 30 24 +6 33
5 Radnik Hadžići 23 30 30 0 35
6 Sloboda Tuzla 23 29 27 +2 34
7 GOŠK Gabela 23 28 22 +6 33
8 Tomislav 23 28 32 -4 25
9 Igman Konjic 23 28 38 -10 31
10 Budućnost Banovići 23 26 28 -2 27
11 Vitez 23 24 31 -7 27
12 Jedinstvo Bihać 23 24 32 -8 36
13 Bratstvo Gračanica 23 22 26 -4 26
14 Tuzla City 23 19 46 -27 17
1st League - FBiH Bosnia. 1st League - FBiH Predictions
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