Betting Primary Pick (highest +EV)
BTTS Yes
— Value
Over 2.5 48.2% · Under 2.5 51.8%
EV Over -16.61% · EV Under 7.74%
Value lean:
Under 2.5
Turan · Model 41.8%
implied 26.7%
EV: 2.7%
Best line EV (1X2) 2.7%
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 12.1%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Decision strength: 6.5 / 10
- Primary line identified (+1.0)
- Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
- Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
- Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Over -16.61% ·
EV Under 7.74%
(10 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes 15.18% · EV No -34.98%
BTTS: EV Yes 15.18% · EV No -34.98%
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.1.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment)
Check Odds at 1xBet
How to use this
- Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
- Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
- Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
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Premyer Liqa — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 75 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 66 |
| 3 | Turan | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 59 |
| 4 | Neftchi Baku | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 53 |
| 5 | Zira | 31 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 50 |
| 6 | Araz | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Sumqayıt | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 41 |
| 8 | Şamaxı FK | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 38 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 33 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 32 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 27 |
| 11 | Qabala | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 24 |
| 12 | Karvan | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 14 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 31 | 72 | 22 | +50 | 75 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 32 | 67 | 24 | +43 | 66 |
| 3 | Neftchi Baku | 31 | 54 | 31 | +23 | 53 |
| 4 | Turan | 32 | 43 | 25 | +18 | 59 |
| 5 | Sumqayıt | 31 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 | Araz | 32 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 43 |
| 7 | Zira | 31 | 39 | 32 | +7 | 50 |
| 8 | Şamaxı FK | 32 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 38 |
| 9 | Qabala | 32 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 24 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 32 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
| 11 | Imisli FK | 32 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 33 |
| 12 | Karvan | 32 | 22 | 65 | -43 | 14 |