Predictions / Football / Italy. Serie C - Girone B / Ascoli vs Livorno

Ascoli vs Livorno Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Ascoli Ascoli
Jan 30, 2026 - 19:30
1.49
1.23
43% 25% 31%
Livorno Livorno
1X2 ❌ No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 43.2% Ascoli; implied 53.6%; EV -18.7%
Steam vs. value
Market momentum is strong, but current odds may already be over-adjusted. Steam detected — model value on this line may be priced out.
This match appears on the market-movement board for aggressive line repricing — not because 1X2 is currently a positive-EV bet.
📈 Steam · Livorno ↓ -13.0% · 11/12 · 72 A
Market steam Moderate
Current EV Negative
Closing line pressure High
Value remaining None
Small positive edge on a tracked line (~0.8%), below the 2.0% default betting threshold — no Primary pick.
⭐ 1X2 Lean
Ascoli · Model 43.2%
implied 53.6%
Main consensus market · EV: -18.7%
Best available bookmaker line: +0.8% EV
Some outlier bookmaker prices may still show small theoretical value vs. the consensus line above.
Over / Under 2.5 Lean
Over 2.5 40.4% · Under 2.5 59.6%
Value lean: Under 2.5
Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 44.3% · No 55.7%
Value lean: BTTS No
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-0
Probability 15.0%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (below +EV threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no tracked line reaches the engine’s minimum EV threshold for a default stake suggestion.
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.1.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Check Odds at 1xBet
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 73
4 Campobasso FC 36 17 10 9 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 43
12 Forli 36 10 10 16 40
13 Athletic Carpi 36 10 10 16 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38
15 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 36 8 14 14 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 37
17 Torres 36 6 18 12 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 32
19 Pontedera 36 3 11 22 20
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Arezzo 36 64 24 +40 80
2 Ascoli 36 63 23 +40 77
3 Ravenna 36 50 30 +20 73
4 Campobasso FC 36 49 37 +12 59
5 Juventus U23 36 46 43 +3 53
6 Ternana 36 44 40 +4 48
7 Pineto 36 42 45 -3 50
8 Forli 36 41 52 -11 40
9 Livorno 36 39 51 -12 43
10 Vis Pesaro 36 38 36 +2 46
11 Perugia 36 38 44 -6 38
12 Pianese 36 37 34 +3 50
13 Bra 36 37 54 -17 32
14 Athletic Carpi 36 35 48 -13 40
15 Torres 36 32 45 -13 36
16 Gubbio 36 31 32 -1 48
17 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 36 30 36 -6 38
18 Sambenedettese 36 30 37 -7 37
19 Pontedera 36 27 62 -35 20
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