Predictions / Football / England. Non League Premier - Southern Central / Alvechurch vs Stamford

Alvechurch vs Stamford Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Alvechurch Alvechurch
Jan 27, 2026 - 19:45
1.49
1.23
43% 25% 31%
Stamford Stamford

Final betting verdict

Different markets price efficiency differently — 1X2 can be a pass while goals markets still show edge.

  • No value on 1X2 (Alvechurch vs. current odds)
  • Possible value: Under 2.5 (+5.8% EV at best odds)
  • Possible value: BTTS No (+25%+ EV at best odds)
  • Steam repriced this match — late money may have eaten remaining edge on the steamed side.
Moderate conviction (6.5/10) — one selective line, not a multi-market parlay.
Betting Primary Pick (highest +EV)
BTTS No — Value
EV +25%+ Model 68.4%
Steam vs. value
Market momentum is strong, but current odds may already be over-adjusted. Steam detected — model value on this line may be priced out.
This match appears on the market-movement board for aggressive line repricing — not because 1X2 is currently a positive-EV bet.
📈 Steam · Stamford ↓ -16.7% · 8/12 · 73 A
Market steam Moderate
Current EV Negative
Closing line pressure High
Value remaining Limited
Over / Under 2.5 Best value (+EV)
Over 2.5 44.3% · Under 2.5 55.7%
EV Over -13.6% · EV Under +5.8%
Value lean: Under 2.5
1X2 Poor value
Alvechurch · Model 43.2%
implied 48.6%
Main consensus market · EV: -15.6%
Best available bookmaker line: -3.5% EV
Some outlier bookmaker prices may still show small theoretical value vs. the consensus line above.
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 12.7%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Decision strength: 6.5 / 10
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -13.6% · EV Under +5.8% (7 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -40.0% · EV No +25%+
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.1.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Check Odds at 1xBet
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Non League Premier - Southern Central Non League Premier - Southern Central — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Harborough Town 42 28 11 3 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 81
4 Kettering Town 42 21 9 12 72
5 Halesowen Town 42 20 10 12 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 70
7 Redditch United 42 21 7 14 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 65
9 Worcester City 42 17 12 13 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 63
11 Stratford Town 42 17 10 15 61
12 Banbury United 42 17 9 16 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 50
16 Bishop's Stortford 42 13 10 19 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 47
18 Bromsgrove Sporting 42 12 8 22 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 25
22 AFC Sudbury 42 6 7 29 25
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Spalding United 42 103 54 +49 85
2 Halesowen Town 42 85 60 +25 70
3 Real Bedford 42 84 47 +37 81
4 Harborough Town 42 81 33 +48 95
5 Quorn 42 78 71 +7 65
6 Kettering Town 42 74 52 +22 72
7 Redditch United 42 67 58 +9 70
8 Leiston 42 65 58 +7 63
9 Worcester City 42 64 44 +20 63
10 Needham Market 42 64 53 +11 70
11 Bury Town 42 61 53 +8 58
12 Stratford Town 42 61 54 +7 61
13 Stourbridge 42 58 68 -10 50
14 Bishop's Stortford 42 53 67 -14 49
15 Bromsgrove Sporting 42 52 73 -21 44
16 Barwell 42 52 85 -33 35
17 Banbury United 42 51 56 -5 60
18 St Ives Town 42 50 73 -23 39
19 Alvechurch 42 49 55 -6 50
20 AFC Sudbury 42 47 115 -68 25
21 Stamford 42 41 64 -23 47
22 Royston Town 42 35 82 -47 25
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