Bavois vs Lausanne Sport II Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Bavois

May 09, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 80%

Lausanne Sport II

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Bavois Bavois ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 2-1, 1-1, 2-2, 3-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Next AI Predictions Available Today

View Today's Football Predictions See Upcoming 1. Liga Promotion Matches Track Bavois Next Match Prediction Track Lausanne Sport II Next Match Prediction

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 1. Liga Promotion
Fixture: Bavois vs Lausanne Sport II
Kickoff: 2026-05-09 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Bavois 1.45 — Lausanne Sport II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS No
Model: 36.1% · Implied: 30.8% · Probability edge: +5.3 pts · Est. EV: +12.6%
BTTS (model): Yes 63.9% · No 36.1%
Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (8.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Best Bet + Reason

Primary angle highlighted on the page: BTTS No.

If 1X2 looks tight, the engine may still find clearer structure in totals or BTTS — that is intentional.

When several markets sit near +EV, keep stakes small — correlation means edges do not add cleanly.

FAQ

What is the best-supported line in this snapshot?

Match the hero card above: if it says “Betting Primary Pick”, that leg cleared primary rules; if it says “Best +EV (tracked markets)”, it is the strongest +EV line that did not meet stricter Primary thresholds. The bullets below repeat the same model %, implied %, edge (pts), and EV % as that card.

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

How should I read EV versus a probability gap?

Probability edge = model probability minus implied probability (reported here in percentage points). EV ≈ model probability × best tracked decimal odds − 1, shown as return per unit stake. They are related but not interchangeable labels.

Who has the edge in the match-winner market?

Use the 1X2 model percentages in the summary and the 1X2 market card: the side with the highest model % is the model lean, but check EV — a lean can still be -EV after prices.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 26, 2026 (UTC)

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1. Liga Promotion — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	SC Kriens	33	24	4	5	76
2	Brühl	33	21	6	6	69
3	Biel-Bienne	33	19	7	7	64
4	Basel II	33	17	8	8	59
5	Bavois	33	17	4	12	55
6	Young Boys II	33	15	9	9	54
7	FC Schaffhausen	33	16	5	12	53
8	Bulle	33	14	6	13	48
9	Cham	33	13	8	12	47
10	Zürich II	33	11	8	14	41
11	Grand-Saconnex	33	10	10	13	40
12	Luzern II	33	10	10	13	40
13	Breitenrain	33	10	8	15	38
14	Kreuzlingen	33	8	12	13	36
15	Lugano II	33	8	11	14	35
16	Paradiso	33	7	11	15	32
17	Lausanne Sport II	33	8	4	21	28
18	Vevey Sports	33	1	5	27	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	SC Kriens	33	98	42	+56	76
2	Brühl	33	88	46	+42	69
3	Luzern II	33	78	80	-2	40
4	Biel-Bienne	33	76	43	+33	64
5	Grand-Saconnex	33	68	67	+1	40
6	Bulle	33	67	62	+5	48
7	Young Boys II	33	66	49	+17	54
8	Basel II	33	65	47	+18	59
9	Bavois	33	63	51	+12	55
10	Cham	33	59	59	0	47
11	Lausanne Sport II	33	58	83	-25	28
12	Zürich II	33	57	59	-2	41
13	FC Schaffhausen	33	50	44	+6	53
14	Paradiso	33	49	65	-16	32
15	Breitenrain	33	44	51	-7	38
16	Lugano II	33	44	74	-30	35
17	Kreuzlingen	33	42	65	-23	36
18	Vevey Sports	33	28	113	-85	2