Predictions / Football / Switzerland. 1. Liga Promotion / Bulle vs Zürich II

Bulle vs Zürich II Sharp money alert: Bulle ↑ +8.3% market move detected

Bulle Bulle
Feb 14, 2026 - 15:00 2H
1
3
43% 25% 31%
Zürich II Zürich II

Forecast Assessment

Reliable forecast

Favourite
Bulle Balanced match
Model probability
43.2%
Market probability
41.6%
Market agreement
Strong
Validation
Pass

Summary:

The model and market both lean Bulle, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Zürich II remain plausible — this is a relatively open match.

Market Move Intelligence

Current move
Bulle ↑ +8.3% 2.06 → 2.23
Move type
📈 Steam
Steam Score
64A
Strong sharp signal
Market breadth
8/8
Phase
Sharp repricing
Ref book
Pinnacle
CLV validation
Waiting for Close

Largest move today

Odds path — Bulle

🐢 Slow drift over 20h 7m

Open 2.23
Low / High 1.95
Current 2.23

Market Narrative

Multi-book steam on Bulle (8.3%, 8/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

Market Audit

Market agreement
Strong
Validation
Pass
Largest gap
Bulle +1.6 pp
Breadth
8/8
Current market activity
Bulle odds lengthened ↑ +8.3%.

Market Assessment

The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.

Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Bulle.

  • Current pricing remains close to the model baseline.
Outcome Fair Market Edge
Bulle 43.23% 41.59% +1.6 pp
Draw 25.46% 26.82% -1.4 pp
Zürich II 31.32% 31.59% -0.3 pp

Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.

Final betting verdict

No default bet at standard thresholds — use leans for context only.

  • No value on 1X2 (Bulle vs. current odds)
  • Model lean (not a default bet): Over 2.5
  • Model lean (not a default bet): BTTS Yes
  • Significant line move — see market context below.
Low conviction (4/10) — prefer smaller stakes or skip.
Premium betting site 1xbet: New users can use the promo code 1x_3342271 to receive $100 cash.
1X2 ❌ No bet on 1X2 — no value vs. current odds on this market
Match: 43.2% Bulle; Market consensus (3-way) 41.6%; Consensus-line EV -7.8%
No positive EV on tracked lines at current best odds.
⭐ Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 56.4% · No 43.6%
Value lean: BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Pass
Over 2.5 51.1% · Under 2.5 48.9%
Value lean: Over 2.5
1X2 Poor value
Bulle · Model probability 43.2%
Market consensus (3-way) 41.6%
Consensus-line EV: -7.8%
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 12.1%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (below +EV threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no tracked line reaches the engine’s minimum EV threshold for a default stake suggestion.
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.

Bulle market context before kickoff

📈 Steam on Bulle

Odds move
2.06 → 2.23 (↑ +8.3%)
Market breadth
8/8
Steam score
64 (A)
Current status
Market repriced — no remaining value detected on tracked lines at consensus.

Steam detected. Current price appears fully adjusted.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Decision Lifecycle

Current stage: Market monitoring

  1. Forecast Generated
  2. Market Compared
  3. Validation Passed
  4. Closing Recorded
  5. CLV Evaluated
Entry
2.18
Closing
Pending
CLV
Pending
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.2.0 Continuously refined using model performance, market data and historical results.
Check Odds at 1xBet
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

Get Premium Predictions for Bulle & Zürich II!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Predictions
1. Liga Promotion 1. Liga Promotion — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 SC Kriens 34 25 4 5 79
2 Brühl 34 22 6 6 72
3 Biel-Bienne 34 19 7 8 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 54
7 FC Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 43
11 Zürich II 34 11 8 15 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 40
14 Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 35
17 Lausanne Sport II 34 9 4 21 31
18 Vevey Sports 34 1 5 28 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 SC Kriens 34 100 43 +57 79
2 Brühl 34 89 46 +43 72
3 Luzern II 34 80 83 -3 40
4 Biel-Bienne 34 78 46 +32 64
5 Grand-Saconnex 34 71 69 +2 43
6 Bulle 34 70 64 +6 51
7 Young Boys II 34 66 52 +14 54
8 Basel II 34 65 48 +17 59
9 Bavois 34 64 53 +11 55
10 Cham 34 62 61 +1 50
11 Lausanne Sport II 34 60 84 -24 31
12 Zürich II 34 59 62 -3 41
13 FC Schaffhausen 34 51 46 +5 53
14 Paradiso 34 51 65 -14 35
15 Breitenrain 34 47 51 -4 41
16 Lugano II 34 45 75 -30 36
17 Kreuzlingen 34 43 66 -23 37
18 Vevey Sports 34 28 115 -87 2
Popular Leagues