Predictions / Football / Hungary. NB III - Southeast / Gyulai Termál vs Dabas

Gyulai Termál vs Dabas Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

May 24, 2026 - 15:00
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%
1X2 No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 41.8% Gyulai Termál
No positive EV on tracked lines at current best odds
Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 86.6% · No 13.4%
Value lean: BTTS Yes
1X2 Pass
Gyulai Termál · Model 41.8%
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 9.8%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (no +EV at threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no line clears the minimum EV for a trade.
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: NB III - Southeast
  • Fixture: Gyulai Termál vs Dabas
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-24 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Gyulai Termál 1.45 — Dabas 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 38.0% · Over 2.5 62.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 86.6% · No 13.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 86.6% · No 13.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.8%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Best Bet + Reason

No bankroll-sized bet is implied here.

The cards may still show value leans (e.g. a preferred Under or a BTTS side) where prices are inefficient or incomplete — that is not the same as a positive-EV ticket at the configured threshold.

Re-check after material price moves; edges appear and disappear with liquidity.

FAQ

Why is there no “best bet” on this page?

The headline engine uses a minimum +EV threshold (e.g. 2%) for a default pick. A line can still show tiny +EV that fails that bar — we still call it no default bet so readers do not over-size thin edges.

Is the most likely correct score still relevant?

As context only: it is still a low absolute probability tail outcome (often in the single digits, sometimes low teens). It does not override the “no headline +EV” stance — treat score bets as fun-sized if you play them at all.

Should I still read the 1X2 card?

Yes — it shows whether any winner price clears value. Here it often explains why there is no headline: probabilities can be clustered while prices already embed that uncertainty.

What do the grey “lean” labels mean then?

They summarise where the model tilts (e.g. Under 2.5 or BTTS No) without claiming a positive economic edge. Use them as context; size to zero unless you deliberately accept discretionary risk.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 21, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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NB III - Southeast NB III - SoutheastStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Monori Se 28 20 7 1 67
2 ESMTK 28 20 3 5 63
3 Gyulai Termál 28 18 5 5 59
4 III. Kerületi TUE 28 16 7 5 55
5 Vasas II 28 13 10 5 49
6 Csep-Gól 28 14 4 10 46
7 Dabas 28 11 6 11 39
8 Honvéd II 28 10 9 9 39
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 28 11 5 12 38
10 Hódmezővásárhely 28 10 6 12 36
11 Szegedi VSE 28 9 5 14 32
12 Szeged-Csanád II 29 7 8 14 29
13 BKV Előre 28 7 5 16 26
14 Békéscsaba II 28 7 3 18 24
15 Martfűi LSE 29 6 2 21 20
16 Tiszaföldvár 28 3 1 24 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Gyulai Termál 28 73 23 +50 59
2 Monori Se 28 62 28 +34 67
3 III. Kerületi TUE 28 62 34 +28 55
4 ESMTK 28 61 21 +40 63
5 Vasas II 28 58 36 +22 49
6 Csep-Gól 28 46 36 +10 46
7 Dabas 28 45 38 +7 39
8 Hódmezővásárhely 28 43 48 -5 36
9 Szegedi VSE 28 43 58 -15 32
10 BKV Előre 28 43 63 -20 26
11 Dunaharaszti MTK 28 42 46 -4 38
12 Honvéd II 28 38 36 +2 39
13 Szeged-Csanád II 29 35 50 -15 29
14 Békéscsaba II 28 28 59 -31 24
15 Martfűi LSE 29 26 72 -46 20
16 Tiszaföldvár 28 25 82 -57 10