Wasilków vs Broń Radom Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Wasilków

May 23, 2026 - 16:00

1.45

1.25

42% 26% 33%

Broń Radom

Betting Primary Pick (highest +EV)

BTTS No — Value

EV 40.1% Model 60.9%

Over / Under 2.5 Lean

Over 2.5 61.0% · Under 2.5 39.0%

EV Over 1.87% · EV Under -8.35%

Value lean: Over 2.5

1X2 Lean

Wasilków · Model 41.8%

implied 27.2%

Main consensus market · EV: 1.0%

Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun

Most Likely

1-1

Probability 10.6%

Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.

Betting decision (model vs. market EV)

Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).

Decision strength: 6.0 / 10

Primary line identified (+1.0)
Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)

O/U 2.5: EV Over 1.87% · EV Under -8.35% (7 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -39.0% · EV No 40.07%

Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.1.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Check Odds at 1xBet

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: III Liga - Group 1
Fixture: Wasilków vs Broń Radom
Kickoff: 2026-05-23 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Wasilków 1.45 — Broń Radom 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS No
Model: 60.9% · Implied: 41.3% · Probability edge: +19.6 pts · Est. EV: +40.1%
BTTS (model): Yes 39.1% · No 60.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Best Bet + Reason

Primary angle highlighted on the page: BTTS No.

We separate probability edge (model minus implied, in points of probability) from estimated EV (economic edge at the best price shown on the page).

Only one modest +EV edge is highlighted here; size cautiously and re-check if odds move.

FAQ

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

What is the best-supported line in this snapshot?

Match the hero card above: if it says “Betting Primary Pick”, that leg cleared primary rules; if it says “Best +EV (tracked markets)”, it is the strongest +EV line that did not meet stricter Primary thresholds. The bullets below repeat the same model %, implied %, edge (pts), and EV % as that card.

Is the most likely correct score a good bet?

Usually no as a standalone bet: the “most likely” scoreline is still a low absolute probability tail event (often single digits, sometimes low teens). Use it as context; keep any correct-score stake in the “fun / small” bucket.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 23, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this

Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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III Liga - Group 1 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa II	33	26	3	4	81
2	Warta Sieradz	33	20	8	5	68
3	Łomża	32	20	5	7	65
4	Wigry Suwałki	33	19	5	9	62
5	Troszyn	32	17	6	9	57
6	Widzew II	33	16	3	14	51
7	Wisła Płock II	32	14	8	10	50
8	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	32	13	7	12	46
9	Jagiellonia II	32	13	6	13	45
10	Ząbkovia Ząbki	32	13	4	15	43
11	Swit	32	12	5	15	41
12	Mławianka Mława	32	10	7	15	37
13	Olimpia Elbląg	32	10	7	15	37
14	Bełchatów	32	9	7	16	34
15	Wikielec	32	9	6	17	33
16	Broń Radom	32	8	9	15	33
17	Wasilków	32	7	3	22	24
18	Znicz Biała Piska	32	3	3	26	12

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa II	33	79	29	+50	81
2	Troszyn	32	74	43	+31	57
3	Łomża	32	73	30	+43	65
4	Ząbkovia Ząbki	32	69	60	+9	43
5	Widzew II	33	68	63	+5	51
6	Warta Sieradz	33	63	34	+29	68
7	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	32	63	52	+11	46
8	Wigry Suwałki	33	61	41	+20	62
9	Mławianka Mława	32	51	56	-5	37
10	Wisła Płock II	32	49	48	+1	50
11	Bełchatów	32	48	70	-22	34
12	Swit	32	47	60	-13	41
13	Jagiellonia II	32	43	43	0	45
14	Olimpia Elbląg	32	43	58	-15	37
15	Wasilków	32	38	74	-36	24
16	Wikielec	32	36	51	-15	33
17	Broń Radom	32	36	55	-19	33
18	Znicz Biała Piska	32	24	98	-74	12