Troszyn vs Łomża Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Troszyn

May 23, 2026 - 16:00

1.45

1.25

42% 26% 33%

Łomża

Betting Primary Pick (highest +EV)

BTTS Yes — Value

EV 18.9% Model 82.0%

Over / Under 2.5 Best value (+EV)

Over 2.5 66.0% · Under 2.5 34.0%

EV Over 3.62% · EV Under -16.7%

Value lean: Over 2.5

1X2 Poor value

Troszyn · Model 41.8%

implied 34.0%

EV: -2.1%

Best line EV (1X2) -2.1%

Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun

Most Likely

1-1

Probability 9.6%

Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.

Betting decision (model vs. market EV)

Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).

Decision strength: 6.5 / 10

Primary line identified (+1.0)
Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)

O/U 2.5: EV Over 3.62% · EV Under -16.7% (5 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes 18.9% · EV No -53.92%

Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.1.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Check Odds at 1xBet

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: III Liga - Group 1
Fixture: Troszyn vs Łomża
Kickoff: 2026-05-23 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Troszyn 1.45 — Łomża 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS Yes
Model: 82.0% · Implied: 63.6% · Probability edge: +18.4 pts · Est. EV: +18.9%
BTTS (model): Yes 82.0% · No 18.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Best Bet + Reason

Primary angle highlighted on the page: BTTS Yes.

If 1X2 looks tight, the engine may still find clearer structure in totals or BTTS — that is intentional.

No pick is a guarantee; variance is especially large in scoreline markets.

FAQ

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

What is the best-supported line in this snapshot?

Match the hero card above: if it says “Betting Primary Pick”, that leg cleared primary rules; if it says “Best +EV (tracked markets)”, it is the strongest +EV line that did not meet stricter Primary thresholds. The bullets below repeat the same model %, implied %, edge (pts), and EV % as that card.

Who has the edge in the match-winner market?

Use the 1X2 model percentages in the summary and the 1X2 market card: the side with the highest model % is the model lean, but check EV — a lean can still be -EV after prices.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 22, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this

Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Troszyn & Łomża!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Predictions

III Liga - Group 1 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa II	32	26	3	3	81
2	Łomża	32	20	5	7	65
3	Warta Sieradz	32	19	8	5	65
4	Wigry Suwałki	32	19	5	8	62
5	Troszyn	32	17	6	9	57
6	Wisła Płock II	32	14	8	10	50
7	Widzew II	32	15	3	14	48
8	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	32	13	7	12	46
9	Jagiellonia II	32	13	6	13	45
10	Ząbkovia Ząbki	32	13	4	15	43
11	Swit	32	12	5	15	41
12	Mławianka Mława	32	10	7	15	37
13	Olimpia Elbląg	32	10	7	15	37
14	Bełchatów	32	9	7	16	34
15	Wikielec	32	9	6	17	33
16	Broń Radom	32	8	9	15	33
17	Wasilków	32	7	3	22	24
18	Znicz Biała Piska	32	3	3	26	12

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa II	32	79	26	+53	81
2	Troszyn	32	74	43	+31	57
3	Łomża	32	73	30	+43	65
4	Ząbkovia Ząbki	32	69	60	+9	43
5	Widzew II	32	65	63	+2	48
6	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	32	63	52	+11	46
7	Warta Sieradz	32	61	33	+28	65
8	Wigry Suwałki	32	60	39	+21	62
9	Mławianka Mława	32	51	56	-5	37
10	Wisła Płock II	32	49	48	+1	50
11	Bełchatów	32	48	70	-22	34
12	Swit	32	47	60	-13	41
13	Jagiellonia II	32	43	43	0	45
14	Olimpia Elbląg	32	43	58	-15	37
15	Wasilków	32	38	74	-36	24
16	Wikielec	32	36	51	-15	33
17	Broń Radom	32	36	55	-19	33
18	Znicz Biała Piska	32	24	98	-74	12