Predictions / Football / Poland. III Liga - Group 1 / Wasilków vs Wigry Suwałki

Wasilków vs Wigry Suwałki Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Wasilków Wasilków
May 16, 2026 - 11:00
0 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 42%
Wigry Suwałki Wigry Suwałki
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Wasilków Wigry Suwałki ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-2, 1-1, 0-2, 0-1, 1-3 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Next AI Predictions Available Today

View Today's Football Predictions See Upcoming III Liga - Group 1 Matches Track Wasilków Next Match Prediction Track Wigry Suwałki Next Match Prediction

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: III Liga - Group 1
  • Fixture: Wasilków vs Wigry Suwałki
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-16 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Wasilków 1.45 — Wigry Suwałki 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS No
  • Model: 48.0% · Implied: 40.4% · Probability edge: +7.6 pts · Est. EV: +14.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.0% · No 48.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (9.7%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Best Bet + Reason

Primary pick from the decision engine: BTTS No.

We separate probability edge (model minus implied, in points of probability) from estimated EV (economic edge at the best price shown on the page).

Edges shrink quickly if prices move; always re-check the number on your book.

FAQ

Why might 1X2 look unattractive while totals do not?

Tight 1X2 prices often embed a fair three-way split, so EV on match-winner can sit negative even when Over/Under or BTTS still diverges from the model — compare the 1X2 row on the market cards to O/U and BTTS.

Is the most likely correct score a good bet?

Usually no as a standalone bet: the “most likely” scoreline is still a low absolute probability tail event (often single digits, sometimes low teens). Use it as context; keep any correct-score stake in the “fun / small” bucket.

How should I read EV versus a probability gap?

Probability edge = model probability minus implied probability (reported here in percentage points). EV ≈ model probability × best tracked decimal odds − 1, shown as return per unit stake. They are related but not interchangeable labels.

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 21, 2026 (UTC)

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III Liga - Group 1 III Liga - Group 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Legia Warszawa II 32 26 3 3 81
2 Łomża 32 20 5 7 65
3 Warta Sieradz 32 19 8 5 65
4 Wigry Suwałki 32 19 5 8 62
5 Troszyn 32 17 6 9 57
6 Wisła Płock II 32 14 8 10 50
7 Widzew II 32 15 3 14 48
8 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 32 13 7 12 46
9 Jagiellonia II 32 13 6 13 45
10 Ząbkovia Ząbki 32 13 4 15 43
11 Swit 32 12 5 15 41
12 Mławianka Mława 32 10 7 15 37
13 Olimpia Elbląg 32 10 7 15 37
14 Bełchatów 32 9 7 16 34
15 Wikielec 32 9 6 17 33
16 Broń Radom 32 8 9 15 33
17 Wasilków 32 7 3 22 24
18 Znicz Biała Piska 32 3 3 26 12
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Legia Warszawa II 32 79 26 +53 81
2 Troszyn 32 74 43 +31 57
3 Łomża 32 73 30 +43 65
4 Ząbkovia Ząbki 32 69 60 +9 43
5 Widzew II 32 65 63 +2 48
6 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 32 63 52 +11 46
7 Warta Sieradz 32 61 33 +28 65
8 Wigry Suwałki 32 60 39 +21 62
9 Mławianka Mława 32 51 56 -5 37
10 Wisła Płock II 32 49 48 +1 50
11 Bełchatów 32 48 70 -22 34
12 Swit 32 47 60 -13 41
13 Jagiellonia II 32 43 43 0 45
14 Olimpia Elbląg 32 43 58 -15 37
15 Wasilków 32 38 74 -36 24
16 Wikielec 32 36 51 -15 33
17 Broń Radom 32 36 55 -19 33
18 Znicz Biała Piska 32 24 98 -74 12
III Liga - Group 1 Poland. III Liga - Group 1 Predictions
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