Predictions / Football / Colombia. Primera A / Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto

Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Jul 21, 2025 - 00:30
1.94
0.95
59% 24% 17%
1X2 No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 59.2% Millonarios
No positive EV on tracked lines at current best odds
Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%
Value lean: BTTS Yes
1X2 Pass
Millonarios · Model 59.2%
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-0
Probability 10.8%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (no +EV at threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no line clears the minimum EV for a trade.
Decision strength: 5.0 / 10
  • No line above +EV threshold in tracked markets (−0.5)
  • No line above +EV threshold in tracked markets (−0.5)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Primera A Primera AStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Independiente Medellin 20 12 4 4 40
2 Deportes Tolima 20 12 2 6 38
3 Atletico Nacional 20 10 7 3 37
4 Bucaramanga 20 11 4 5 37
5 Junior 20 10 5 5 35
6 Fortaleza FC 20 9 8 3 35
7 Santa Fe 20 8 7 5 31
8 America de Cali 20 8 5 7 29
9 Alianza Petrolera 20 8 5 7 29
10 Rionegro Aguilas 20 7 6 7 27
11 Once Caldas 20 7 6 7 27
12 Millonarios 20 7 5 8 26
13 Llaneros 20 7 4 9 25
14 Deportivo Cali 20 5 6 9 21
15 Union Magdalena 20 6 3 11 21
16 Envigado 20 4 8 8 20
17 Deportivo Pasto 20 4 7 9 19
18 Deportivo Pereira 20 4 6 10 18
19 Chico 20 3 7 10 16
20 La Equidad 20 3 5 12 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Independiente Medellin 20 46 28 +18 40
2 Atletico Nacional 20 38 24 +14 37
3 Junior 20 35 25 +10 35
4 Bucaramanga 20 31 20 +11 37
5 Deportes Tolima 20 29 17 +12 38
6 Rionegro Aguilas 20 29 27 +2 27
7 Deportivo Pasto 20 26 28 -2 19
8 Fortaleza FC 20 25 19 +6 35
9 Alianza Petrolera 20 24 22 +2 29
10 America de Cali 20 23 19 +4 29
11 Millonarios 20 23 26 -3 26
12 Deportivo Cali 20 22 28 -6 21
13 Union Magdalena 20 22 32 -10 21
14 Santa Fe 20 21 17 +4 31
15 Once Caldas 20 21 24 -3 27
16 Deportivo Pereira 20 19 36 -17 18
17 Envigado 20 18 22 -4 20
18 Llaneros 20 17 25 -8 25
19 Chico 20 14 29 -15 16
20 La Equidad 20 14 29 -15 14
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Independiente Medellin 20 66.2 41.7 +24.5 40
2 Atletico Nacional 20 64.8 46.6 +18.2 37
3 Bucaramanga 20 47.8 36.0 +11.8 37
4 Millonarios 20 49.0 40.4 +8.6 26
5 Deportes Tolima 20 54.4 47.5 +6.9 38
6 America de Cali 20 55.1 48.6 +6.5 29
7 Alianza Petrolera 20 39.9 36.4 +3.5 29
8 Junior 20 57.0 54.1 +2.9 35
9 Fortaleza FC 20 45.0 46.5 -1.5 35
10 Santa Fe 20 55.8 57.9 -2.1 31
11 Rionegro Aguilas 20 40.5 43.3 -2.8 27
12 Deportivo Pasto 20 36.8 39.8 -3.0 19
13 Deportivo Cali 20 37.1 41.6 -4.5 21
14 Deportivo Pereira 20 35.5 42.8 -7.3 18
15 Llaneros 20 31.9 40.1 -8.2 25
16 Once Caldas 20 41.0 49.5 -8.5 27
17 Envigado 20 30.8 39.9 -9.1 20
18 Union Magdalena 20 35.1 45.6 -10.5 21
19 La Equidad 20 30.6 41.5 -10.9 14
20 Chico 20 31.1 45.6 -14.5 16