Predictions / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Hessen / Waldgirmes vs Eintracht Stadtallendorf

Waldgirmes vs Eintracht Stadtallendorf Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

May 09, 2026 - 13:30
0 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 draw Eintracht Stadtallendorf ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2, 2-1 0-2 ✔ Correct

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Oberliga - Hessen
  • Fixture: Waldgirmes vs Eintracht Stadtallendorf
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 10.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 45.0%
  • xG (showing): Waldgirmes 1.45 — Eintracht Stadtallendorf 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 43.4% · Over 2.5 56.6%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.4% · No 47.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.4% · No 47.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.1%)

The decision block shows no default bet: no tracked line clears the headline minimum +EV threshold at the best prices we have (a leg can still show small +EV below that bar). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Best Bet + Reason

No bankroll-sized bet is implied here.

Treat this page as a read-only diagnostic: totals/BTTS structure can be informative even when the honest answer is to wait.

Stake sizing should default to zero when no headline +EV exists — experimentation belongs in the discretionary bucket only.

FAQ

What do the grey “lean” labels mean then?

They summarise where the model tilts (e.g. Under 2.5 or BTTS No) without claiming a positive economic edge. Use them as context; size to zero unless you deliberately accept discretionary risk.

When would a headline +EV return?

When odds move enough that implied probabilities drop relative to the same model snapshot, or when more book prices arrive so EV can be computed reliably — then re-run the pipeline.

Should I still read the 1X2 card?

Yes — it shows whether any winner price clears value. Here it often explains why there is no headline: probabilities can be clustered while prices already embed that uncertainty.

Is the most likely correct score still relevant?

As context only: it is still a low absolute probability tail outcome (often in the single digits, sometimes low teens). It does not override the “no headline +EV” stance — treat score bets as fun-sized if you play them at all.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Hessen Oberliga - HessenStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Eintracht Frankfurt II 33 28 3 2 87
2 Eddersheim 33 19 7 7 64
3 FC Gießen 33 18 4 11 57
4 Eintracht Stadtallendorf 33 16 10 7 58
5 Baunatal 33 16 7 10 55
6 TuBa Pohlheim 33 14 9 10 51
7 Hünfelder SV 33 15 3 15 48
8 Friedberg 33 14 6 13 48
9 Rot-Weiß Walldorf 33 13 8 12 47
10 1960 Hanau 33 14 4 15 46
11 Darmstadt 98 II 33 12 6 15 42
12 Vfb Marburg 33 12 6 15 42
13 Fernwald 33 11 8 14 41
14 Hummetroth 33 13 4 16 43
15 Kassel 33 10 9 14 39
16 Waldgirmes 33 8 6 19 30
17 Weidenhausen 32 5 7 20 22
18 Hanau 93 33 2 7 24 13
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Eintracht Frankfurt II 33 93 29 +64 87
2 Rot-Weiß Walldorf 33 86 71 +15 47
3 Eddersheim 33 72 45 +27 64
4 FC Gießen 33 72 54 +18 57
5 Darmstadt 98 II 33 70 66 +4 42
6 TuBa Pohlheim 33 69 58 +11 51
7 Hünfelder SV 33 64 59 +5 48
8 Baunatal 33 63 51 +12 55
9 Hummetroth 33 62 62 0 43
10 Fernwald 33 58 53 +5 41
11 Kassel 33 58 75 -17 39
12 Eintracht Stadtallendorf 33 56 41 +15 58
13 Friedberg 33 55 57 -2 48
14 1960 Hanau 33 48 65 -17 46
15 Weidenhausen 32 43 81 -38 22
16 Vfb Marburg 33 42 58 -16 42
17 Waldgirmes 33 42 65 -23 30
18 Hanau 93 33 32 90 -58 13