Lauterach vs Imst Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

May 23, 2026 - 15:00
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%
Betting Primary Pick (highest +EV)
Under 2.5 — Value
EV 129.9% Model 53.1%
Secondary (balanced value): BTTS No (EV 98.5%) — 67.3% Model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
Both Teams To Score Best value (+EV)
Yes 32.7% · No 67.3%
EV Yes -55.85% · EV No 98.53%
Value lean: BTTS No
1X2 Best value (+EV)
Lauterach · Model 41.8%
implied 16.5%
EV: 6.3%
Best line EV (1X2) 6.3%
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
0-1
Probability 12.1%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Decision strength: 6.5 / 10
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -43.72% · EV Under 129.92% (5 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -55.85% · EV No 98.53%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Regionalliga - West
  • Fixture: Lauterach vs Imst
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-23 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Lauterach 1.45 — Imst 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS No
  • Model: 67.3% · Implied: 30.3% · Probability edge: +37.0 pts · Est. EV: +108.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 32.7% · No 67.3%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (12.1%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Best Bet + Reason

The engine’s headline primary is: BTTS No.

We separate probability edge (model minus implied, in points of probability) from estimated EV (economic edge at the best price shown on the page).

When several markets sit near +EV, keep stakes small — correlation means edges do not add cleanly.

FAQ

What is the best-supported line in this snapshot?

Match the hero card above: if it says “Betting Primary Pick”, that leg cleared primary rules; if it says “Best +EV (tracked markets)”, it is the strongest +EV line that did not meet stricter Primary thresholds. The bullets below repeat the same model %, implied %, edge (pts), and EV % as that card.

Who has the edge in the match-winner market?

Use the 1X2 model percentages in the summary and the 1X2 market card: the side with the highest model % is the model lean, but check EV — a lean can still be -EV after prices.

Is the most likely correct score a good bet?

Usually no as a standalone bet: the “most likely” scoreline is still a low absolute probability tail event (often single digits, sometimes low teens). Use it as context; keep any correct-score stake in the “fun / small” bucket.

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 22, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Regionalliga - West Regionalliga - WestStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wacker Innsbruck 27 23 2 2 71
2 Kuchl 27 18 2 7 56
3 Seekirchen 27 17 3 7 54
4 Imst 28 15 7 6 52
5 Dornbirn 28 15 4 9 49
6 Bischofshofen 28 15 3 10 48
7 Hohenems 27 10 10 7 40
8 Schwaz 28 12 4 12 40
9 Kitzbühel 27 11 3 13 36
10 SVG Reichenau 28 11 3 14 36
11 Wals-Grünau 27 9 8 10 35
12 Lustenau 27 8 5 14 29
13 TSV St. Johann 27 7 4 16 25
14 Pinzgau Saalfelden 27 6 5 16 23
15 Rheindorf Altach II 27 5 6 16 21
16 Lauterach 27 5 5 17 20
17 Kufstein 27 3 10 14 19
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wacker Innsbruck 27 72 13 +59 71
2 Seekirchen 27 70 37 +33 54
3 Imst 28 61 36 +25 52
4 Dornbirn 28 55 38 +17 49
5 Bischofshofen 28 54 35 +19 48
6 Kuchl 27 50 35 +15 56
7 Schwaz 28 48 48 0 40
8 Hohenems 27 45 40 +5 40
9 Wals-Grünau 27 45 51 -6 35
10 Lustenau 27 40 66 -26 29
11 Lauterach 27 38 65 -27 20
12 Kitzbühel 27 34 37 -3 36
13 SVG Reichenau 28 33 48 -15 36
14 TSV St. Johann 27 33 51 -18 25
15 Rheindorf Altach II 27 29 62 -33 21
16 Kufstein 27 23 42 -19 19
17 Pinzgau Saalfelden 27 22 48 -26 23