Predictions / Football / Turkey. Süper Lig / Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Jan 30, 2026 - 17:00
1.02
0.87
36% 35% 28%
1X2 No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 36.4% Kasımpaşa; implied 30.6%; EV -1.9%
No positive EV on tracked lines at current best odds.
Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 38.9% · No 61.1%
Value lean: BTTS No
1X2 Poor value
Kasımpaşa · Model 36.4%
implied 30.6%
EV: -1.9%
Best line EV (1X2) -1.9%
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-0
Probability 15.4%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (no +EV at threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no line clears the minimum EV for a trade.
Decision strength: 3.5 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Süper Lig Süper LigStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Galatasaray 34 24 5 5 77
2 Fenerbahçe 34 21 11 2 74
3 Trabzonspor 34 20 9 5 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 17 9 8 60
5 Başakşehir 34 16 9 9 57
6 Göztepe 34 14 13 7 55
7 Samsunspor 34 13 12 9 51
8 Rizespor 34 10 11 13 41
9 Konyaspor 34 10 10 14 40
10 Kocaelispor 34 9 10 15 37
11 Alanyaspor 34 7 16 11 37
12 Gaziantep FK 34 9 10 15 37
13 Kasımpaşa 34 8 11 15 35
14 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 34 9 7 18 34
15 Eyüpspor 34 8 9 17 33
16 Antalyaspor 34 8 8 18 32
17 Kayserispor 34 6 12 16 30
18 Fatih Karagümrük 34 8 6 20 30
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Galatasaray 34 77 30 +47 77
2 Fenerbahçe 34 77 37 +40 74
3 Trabzonspor 34 61 39 +22 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 59 40 +19 60
5 Başakşehir 34 58 35 +23 57
6 Samsunspor 34 46 45 +1 51
7 Rizespor 34 46 52 -6 41
8 Konyaspor 34 43 50 -7 40
9 Gaziantep FK 34 43 58 -15 37
10 Göztepe 34 42 32 +10 55
11 Alanyaspor 34 41 41 0 37
12 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 34 36 47 -11 34
13 Eyüpspor 34 33 48 -15 33
14 Kasımpaşa 34 33 49 -16 35
15 Antalyaspor 34 33 55 -22 32
16 Fatih Karagümrük 34 31 54 -23 30
17 Kayserispor 34 27 62 -35 30
18 Kocaelispor 34 26 38 -12 37
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Galatasaray 34 68.5 32.7 +35.8 77
2 Fenerbahçe 34 65.0 30.1 +34.9 74
3 Beşiktaş 34 62.6 36.8 +25.8 60
4 Başakşehir 34 53.5 42.7 +10.8 57
5 Göztepe 34 46.6 35.8 +10.8 55
6 Trabzonspor 34 50.4 43.9 +6.5 69
7 Samsunspor 34 43.1 38.9 +4.2 51
8 Rizespor 34 45.3 45.5 -0.2 41
9 Kocaelispor 34 30.1 33.2 -3.1 37
10 Konyaspor 34 44.0 47.4 -3.4 40
11 Gaziantep FK 34 44.4 50.8 -6.4 37
12 Alanyaspor 34 34.6 44.1 -9.5 37
13 Kayserispor 34 37.9 51.7 -13.8 30
14 Kasımpaşa 34 29.2 43.8 -14.6 35
15 Fatih Karagümrük 34 33.2 48.0 -14.8 30
16 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 34 34.9 51.4 -16.5 34
17 Eyüpspor 34 34.4 53.3 -18.9 33
18 Antalyaspor 34 27.8 55.2 -27.4 32