Predictions / Football / Turkey. Süper Lig / Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Jan 30, 2026 - 17:00
1.02
0.87
36% 35% 28%
1X2 No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 36.4% Kasımpaşa; implied 30.6%; EV -1.9%
No positive EV on tracked lines at current best odds.
Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 38.9% · No 61.1%
Value lean: BTTS No
1X2 Poor value
Kasımpaşa · Model 36.4%
implied 30.6%
EV: -1.9%
Best line EV (1X2) -1.9%
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-0
Probability 15.4%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (no +EV at threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no line clears the minimum EV for a trade.
Decision strength: 3.5 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Süper Lig Süper LigStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Galatasaray 33 24 5 4 77
2 Fenerbahçe 33 21 10 2 73
3 Trabzonspor 33 20 9 4 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 17 9 8 60
5 Göztepe 33 14 13 6 55
6 Başakşehir 33 15 9 9 54
7 Samsunspor 33 12 12 9 48
8 Rizespor 34 10 11 13 41
9 Konyaspor 33 10 10 13 40
10 Kocaelispor 33 9 10 14 37
11 Alanyaspor 33 7 16 10 37
12 Gaziantep FK 33 9 10 14 37
13 Eyüpspor 33 8 8 17 32
14 Kasımpaşa 33 7 11 15 32
15 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 8 7 18 31
16 Antalyaspor 33 7 8 18 29
17 Kayserispor 33 5 12 16 27
18 Fatih Karagümrük 33 7 6 20 27
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Galatasaray 33 77 29 +48 77
2 Fenerbahçe 33 74 34 +40 73
3 Trabzonspor 33 61 36 +25 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 59 40 +19 60
5 Başakşehir 33 56 34 +22 54
6 Rizespor 34 46 52 -6 41
7 Samsunspor 33 43 45 -2 48
8 Göztepe 33 42 29 +13 55
9 Konyaspor 33 42 48 -6 40
10 Gaziantep FK 33 42 56 -14 37
11 Alanyaspor 33 40 39 +1 37
12 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 33 47 -14 31
13 Kasımpaşa 33 32 49 -17 32
14 Antalyaspor 33 32 55 -23 29
15 Eyüpspor 33 30 45 -15 32
16 Fatih Karagümrük 33 29 53 -24 27
17 Kocaelispor 33 26 37 -11 37
18 Kayserispor 33 25 61 -36 27
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Galatasaray 33 68.5 32.7 +35.8 77
2 Fenerbahçe 33 65.0 30.1 +34.9 73
3 Beşiktaş 34 62.6 36.8 +25.8 60
4 Başakşehir 33 53.5 42.7 +10.8 54
5 Göztepe 33 46.6 35.8 +10.8 55
6 Trabzonspor 33 50.4 43.9 +6.5 69
7 Samsunspor 33 43.1 38.9 +4.2 48
8 Rizespor 34 45.3 45.5 -0.2 41
9 Kocaelispor 33 30.1 33.2 -3.1 37
10 Konyaspor 33 44.0 47.4 -3.4 40
11 Gaziantep FK 33 44.4 50.8 -6.4 37
12 Alanyaspor 33 34.6 44.1 -9.5 37
13 Kayserispor 33 37.9 51.7 -13.8 27
14 Kasımpaşa 33 29.2 43.8 -14.6 32
15 Fatih Karagümrük 33 33.2 48.0 -14.8 27
16 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 34.9 51.4 -16.5 31
17 Eyüpspor 33 34.4 53.3 -18.9 32
18 Antalyaspor 33 27.8 55.2 -27.4 29