Chrudim vs Artis Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Chrudim

May 23, 2026 - 15:00

1.45

1.25

42% 26% 33%

Artis

Betting Primary Pick (highest +EV)

BTTS No — Value

EV 16.4% Model 52.9%

Why The model prices Chrudim (1X2) about 18.1 percentage points above closing implied — the main structural read vs. the line.

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE5 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Chrudim (1X2), Draw (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Chrudim (1X2) by about 18.1 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Chrudim (1X2)	41.8	23.6	+18.1
Draw (1X2)	25.7	23.9	+1.7
Artis (1X2)	32.6	52.5	-19.9
Over 2.5 goals	55.4	57.9	-2.5
Under 2.5 goals	44.6	42.1	+2.5

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 41.8% on Chrudim (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 23.6%. The difference — about 18.1 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE5 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE5)
Chrudim (1X2)	3.82	3.82
Draw (1X2)	3.77	3.77
Artis (1X2)	1.72	1.72
Over 2.5 goals	1.6	1.6
Under 2.5 goals	2.2	2.2

1X2 Best value (+EV)

Chrudim · Model 41.8%

implied 23.6%

Main consensus market · EV: 5.3%

Over / Under 2.5 Poor value

Over 2.5 55.4% · Under 2.5 44.6%

EV Over -7.48% · EV Under -1.88%

Value lean: Under 2.5

Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun

Most Likely

1-1

Probability 11.2%

Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.

Betting decision (model vs. market EV)

Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).

Decision strength: 6.5 / 10

Primary line identified (+1.0)
Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)

O/U 2.5: EV Over -7.48% · EV Under -1.88% (11 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -21.34% · EV No 16.38%

Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.1.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Check Odds at 1xBet

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: FNL
Fixture: Chrudim vs Artis
Kickoff: 2026-05-23 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Chrudim 1.45 — Artis 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS No
Model: 52.9% · Implied: 42.7% · Probability edge: +10.2 pts · Est. EV: +16.4%
BTTS (model): Yes 47.1% · No 52.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.2%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Best Bet + Reason

The engine’s headline primary is: BTTS No.

Model probability is compared to implied probability from odds to highlight a probability edge; EV uses the same model probability with the best decimal price tracked.

Edges shrink quickly if prices move; always re-check the number on your book.

FAQ

Who has the edge in the match-winner market?

Use the 1X2 model percentages in the summary and the 1X2 market card: the side with the highest model % is the model lean, but check EV — a lean can still be -EV after prices.

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

Why might 1X2 look unattractive while totals do not?

Tight 1X2 prices often embed a fair three-way split, so EV on match-winner can sit negative even when Over/Under or BTTS still diverges from the model — compare the 1X2 row on the market cards to O/U and BTTS.

Is the most likely correct score a good bet?

Usually no as a standalone bet: the “most likely” scoreline is still a low absolute probability tail event (often single digits, sometimes low teens). Use it as context; keep any correct-score stake in the “fun / small” bucket.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 23, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this

Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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FNL — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Zbrojovka Brno	29	23	4	2	73
2	Táborsko	29	16	5	8	53
3	Artis	29	15	7	7	52
4	Ústí nad Labem	29	15	3	11	48
5	Příbram	29	13	6	10	45
6	Baník Ostrava II	29	13	5	11	44
7	Opava	29	11	10	8	43
8	Viktoria Žižkov	29	12	5	12	41
9	Vlašim	29	10	8	11	38
10	Slavia Praha II	29	10	5	14	35
11	České Budějovice	29	10	4	15	34
12	Chrudim	29	8	8	13	32
13	Hanácká	29	9	4	16	31
14	Prostějov	29	5	12	12	27
15	Vysočina Jihlava	29	6	8	15	26
16	Sparta Praha II	29	7	4	18	25

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Zbrojovka Brno	29	58	21	+37	73
2	Ústí nad Labem	29	52	43	+9	48
3	Artis	29	49	35	+14	52
4	Táborsko	29	48	31	+17	53
5	Baník Ostrava II	29	44	38	+6	44
6	Opava	29	42	31	+11	43
7	Vlašim	29	39	31	+8	38
8	Slavia Praha II	29	39	45	-6	35
9	Viktoria Žižkov	29	37	50	-13	41
10	Chrudim	29	36	49	-13	32
11	České Budějovice	29	30	39	-9	34
12	Hanácká	29	30	42	-12	31
13	Prostějov	29	30	43	-13	27
14	Příbram	29	29	30	-1	45
15	Vysočina Jihlava	29	29	38	-9	26
16	Sparta Praha II	29	27	53	-26	25