Predictions / Football / Scotland. Premiership / Hibernian vs Dundee Utd

Hibernian vs Dundee Utd Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Hibernian Hibernian
Feb 04, 2026 - 19:45 1H
0
0
55% 22% 22%
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd

Forecast Assessment

Reliable forecast

Favourite
Hibernian Slight favourite
Model probability
55.4%
Market probability
57.9%
Market agreement
Strong
Validation
Pass

Summary:

The model and market both identify Hibernian as the likely winner. Current divergence remains within normal bounds.

Market Move Intelligence

Current move
Hibernian ↑ +3.2% 1.57 → 1.62
Move type
⚠️ Volatile market
Steam Score
20C
Limited conviction
Market breadth
4/14
Phase
Volatile
Ref book
Bet365
CLV validation
Waiting for Close

Highest consensus move

Odds path — Hibernian

🐢 Slow drift over 191h 6m

Open 1.67
Low / High 1.53
Current 1.62

Market Narrative

Volatile two-way pricing on Hibernian (swing 1.67 → 1.53 → 1.62) — net 3.2% but intraday chop is elevated.

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Market Audit

Market agreement
Strong
Validation
Pass
Largest gap
Dundee Utd +4.8 pp
Breadth
4/14
Current market activity
Hibernian odds lengthened ↑ +3.2%.

Market Assessment

The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.

However, Hibernian has seen drift — odds lengthened by 3.2%, suggesting weakening support. Confirmation remains limited (4/14 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.

  • Current pricing remains close to the model baseline.
Outcome Fair Market Edge
Hibernian 55.41% 57.92% -2.5 pp
Draw 22.06% 24.37% -2.3 pp
Dundee Utd 22.53% 17.7% +4.8 pp

Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.

Final betting verdict

No default bet at standard thresholds — use leans for context only.

  • No value on 1X2 (Hibernian vs. current odds)
  • Model lean (not a default bet): Over 2.5
  • Model lean (not a default bet): BTTS Yes
Moderate conviction (5/10) — one selective line, not a multi-market parlay.
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1X2 ❌ No bet on 1X2 — no value vs. current odds on this market
Match: 55.5% Hibernian; Market consensus (3-way) 57.9%; Consensus-line EV -8.5%
No positive EV on tracked lines at current best odds.
⭐ Over / Under 2.5 Lean
Over 2.5 71.1% · Under 2.5 28.9%
Value lean: Over 2.5
Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 69.0% · No 31.0%
Value lean: BTTS Yes
1X2 Poor value
Hibernian · Model probability 55.5%
Market consensus (3-way) 57.9%
Consensus-line EV: -8.5%
Best available bookmaker line: -1.5% EV
Some outlier bookmaker prices may still show small theoretical value vs. the consensus line above.
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
2-1
Probability 9.1%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (below +EV threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no tracked line reaches the engine’s minimum EV threshold for a default stake suggestion.
Decision strength: 5.0 / 10
  • No line above +EV threshold in tracked markets (−0.5)
  • No line above +EV threshold in tracked markets (−0.5)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.

Decision Lifecycle

Current stage: Market monitoring

  1. Forecast Generated
  2. Market Compared
  3. Validation Passed
  4. Closing Recorded
  5. CLV Evaluated
Entry
5.3
Closing
Pending
CLV
Pending
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.2.0 Continuously refined using model performance, market data and historical results.
Check Odds at 1xBet
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Premiership Premiership — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Heart Of Midlothian 33 21 7 5 70
2 Rangers 33 19 12 2 69
3 Celtic 33 21 4 8 67
4 Motherwell 33 14 12 7 54
5 Hibernian 33 13 12 8 51
6 Falkirk 33 13 7 13 46
7 Dundee Utd 33 9 13 11 40
8 Aberdeen 33 9 6 18 33
9 Dundee 33 8 9 16 33
10 ST Mirren 33 7 9 17 30
11 Kilmarnock 33 6 10 17 28
12 Livingston 33 1 13 19 16
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rangers 33 66 31 +35 69
2 Celtic 33 59 35 +24 67
3 Heart Of Midlothian 33 58 28 +30 70
4 Motherwell 33 52 29 +23 54
5 Hibernian 33 51 37 +14 51
6 Falkirk 33 45 48 -3 46
7 Dundee Utd 33 45 54 -9 40
8 Kilmarnock 33 37 65 -28 28
9 Livingston 33 35 66 -31 16
10 Dundee 33 34 53 -19 33
11 Aberdeen 33 33 48 -15 33
12 ST Mirren 33 27 48 -21 30
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Celtic 33 53.2 26.7 +26.5 67
2 Rangers 33 53.1 30.6 +22.5 69
3 Heart Of Midlothian 33 43.5 29.4 +14.1 70
4 Motherwell 33 42.9 30.6 +12.3 54
5 Hibernian 33 42.4 35.3 +7.1 51
6 Falkirk 33 38.5 38.7 -0.2 46
7 ST Mirren 33 30.2 35.4 -5.2 30
8 Dundee Utd 33 36.0 45.4 -9.4 40
9 Aberdeen 33 35.0 47.8 -12.8 33
10 Dundee 33 30.9 44.9 -14.0 33
11 Kilmarnock 33 33.7 52.8 -19.1 28
12 Livingston 33 28.8 50.8 -22.0 16
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