Predictions / Football / Poland. I Liga / ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Apr 13, 2026 - 16:00
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%

Final betting verdict

Different markets price efficiency differently — 1X2 can be a pass while goals markets still show edge.

  • No value on 1X2 (ŁKS Łódź vs. current odds)
  • Model lean (not a default bet): Over 2.5
  • Possible value: BTTS Yes (+21.5% EV at best odds)
Moderate conviction (6/10) — one selective line, not a multi-market parlay.
Betting Primary Pick (highest +EV)
BTTS Yes — Value
EV +21.5% Model 66.4%
1X2 Lean
ŁKS Łódź · Model 41.8%
implied 52.2%
Main consensus market · EV: -17.9%
Best available bookmaker line: +0.6% EV
Some outlier bookmaker prices may still show small theoretical value vs. the consensus line above.
Over / Under 2.5 Poor value
Over 2.5 58.8% · Under 2.5 41.2%
EV Over -2.4% · EV Under -5.7%
Value lean: Over 2.5
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 11.0%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Decision strength: 6.0 / 10
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -2.4% · EV Under -5.7% (9 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes +21.5% · EV No -20.0%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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I Liga I LigaStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wisla Krakow 34 20 11 3 71
2 Slask Wroclaw 34 17 11 6 62
3 Wieczysta Kraków 34 16 9 9 57
4 Chrobry Głogów 34 16 7 11 55
5 ŁKS Łódź 34 15 9 10 54
6 Polonia Warszawa 34 15 8 11 53
7 Ruch Chorzów 34 14 11 9 53
8 Miedz Legnica 34 15 7 12 52
9 Puszcza Niepołomice 34 12 13 9 49
10 Polonia Bytom 34 13 8 13 47
11 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 34 11 12 11 45
12 Odra Opole 34 11 11 12 44
13 Stal Rzeszów 34 12 7 15 43
14 Stal Mielec 34 10 6 18 36
15 Pogoń Siedlce 34 9 9 16 36
16 Znicz Pruszków 34 7 7 20 28
17 Górnik Łęczna 34 5 12 17 27
18 Tychy 71 34 5 8 21 23
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wisla Krakow 34 72 32 +40 71
2 Wieczysta Kraków 34 70 47 +23 57
3 Slask Wroclaw 34 69 47 +22 62
4 ŁKS Łódź 34 56 48 +8 54
5 Polonia Bytom 34 56 50 +6 47
6 Ruch Chorzów 34 54 46 +8 53
7 Polonia Warszawa 34 52 49 +3 53
8 Miedz Legnica 34 52 53 -1 52
9 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 34 51 54 -3 45
10 Stal Mielec 34 51 62 -11 36
11 Stal Rzeszów 34 49 60 -11 43
12 Chrobry Głogów 34 48 36 +12 55
13 Puszcza Niepołomice 34 45 40 +5 49
14 Znicz Pruszków 34 40 68 -28 28
15 Tychy 71 34 40 74 -34 23
16 Górnik Łęczna 34 39 62 -23 27
17 Odra Opole 34 34 40 -6 44
18 Pogoń Siedlce 34 33 43 -10 36