Predictions / Football / Poland. I Liga / Wieczysta Kraków vs Polonia Bytom

Wieczysta Kraków vs Polonia Bytom Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Mar 16, 2026 - 17:00
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%

Final betting verdict

Different markets price efficiency differently — 1X2 can be a pass while goals markets still show edge.

  • No value on 1X2 (Wieczysta Kraków vs. current odds)
  • Model lean (not a default bet): Over 2.5
  • Possible value: BTTS Yes (+10.1% EV at best odds)
Low conviction (4/10) — prefer smaller stakes or skip.
1X2 No bet on 1X2 — no value vs. current odds on this market
Match: 41.8% Wieczysta Kraków; implied 57.4%; EV -21.1%
No standard primary for this match: the best +EV line in the 25–40% model band is not shown as a main pick (settings). Use the alternative or secondary lines below.
No Primary pick for default sizing on this strip (1X2 can still read “no bet”), but at least one other market clears the +EV threshold — check the Over/Under and BTTS cards below.
1X2 Poor value
Wieczysta Kraków · Model 41.8%
implied 57.4%
Main consensus market · EV: -21.1%
Best available bookmaker line: -0.7% EV
Some outlier bookmaker prices may still show small theoretical value vs. the consensus line above.
Over / Under 2.5 Poor value
Over 2.5 63.0% · Under 2.5 37.0%
EV Over -1.1% · EV Under -12.3%
Value lean: Over 2.5
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 10.2%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Selective value — At least one tracked market may clear +EV at best odds, but conviction is limited (4.0/10) — size down.
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -1.1% · EV Under -12.3% (6 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes +10.1% · EV No -29.5%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
How to use this
  • When there is no Primary line, compare the +EV rows in the market cards below (not only 1X2).
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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I Liga I LigaStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wisla Krakow 34 20 11 3 71
2 Slask Wroclaw 34 17 11 6 62
3 Wieczysta Kraków 34 16 9 9 57
4 Chrobry Głogów 34 16 7 11 55
5 ŁKS Łódź 34 15 9 10 54
6 Polonia Warszawa 34 15 8 11 53
7 Ruch Chorzów 34 14 11 9 53
8 Miedz Legnica 34 15 7 12 52
9 Puszcza Niepołomice 34 12 13 9 49
10 Polonia Bytom 34 13 8 13 47
11 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 34 11 12 11 45
12 Odra Opole 34 11 11 12 44
13 Stal Rzeszów 34 12 7 15 43
14 Stal Mielec 34 10 6 18 36
15 Pogoń Siedlce 34 9 9 16 36
16 Znicz Pruszków 34 7 7 20 28
17 Górnik Łęczna 34 5 12 17 27
18 Tychy 71 34 5 8 21 23
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wisla Krakow 34 72 32 +40 71
2 Wieczysta Kraków 34 70 47 +23 57
3 Slask Wroclaw 34 69 47 +22 62
4 ŁKS Łódź 34 56 48 +8 54
5 Polonia Bytom 34 56 50 +6 47
6 Ruch Chorzów 34 54 46 +8 53
7 Polonia Warszawa 34 52 49 +3 53
8 Miedz Legnica 34 52 53 -1 52
9 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 34 51 54 -3 45
10 Stal Mielec 34 51 62 -11 36
11 Stal Rzeszów 34 49 60 -11 43
12 Chrobry Głogów 34 48 36 +12 55
13 Puszcza Niepołomice 34 45 40 +5 49
14 Znicz Pruszków 34 40 68 -28 28
15 Tychy 71 34 40 74 -34 23
16 Górnik Łęczna 34 39 62 -23 27
17 Odra Opole 34 34 40 -6 44
18 Pogoń Siedlce 34 33 43 -10 36