Predictions / Football / Poland. Ekstraklasa / Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom

Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
May 23, 2026 - 16:00
1.28
0.81
46% 32% 22%
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
1X2 ❌ No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 45.8% Gornik Zabrze; implied 64.4%; EV -18.8%
No standard primary for this match: the best +EV line in the 25–40% model band is not shown as a main pick (settings). Use the alternative or secondary lines below.
No Primary pick for default sizing on this strip (1X2 can still read “no bet”), but at least one other market clears the +EV threshold — check the Over/Under and BTTS cards below.
⭐ Over / Under 2.5 Best value (+EV)
Over 2.5 34.8% · Under 2.5 65.2%
EV Over -45.02% · EV Under 55.18%
Value lean: Under 2.5
Both Teams To Score Best value (+EV)
Yes 41.8% · No 58.2%
EV Yes -27.27% · EV No 22.22%
Value lean: BTTS No
1X2 Lean
Gornik Zabrze · Model 45.8%
implied 64.4%
EV: -18.8%
Best line EV (1X2) 1.4%
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-0
Probability 15.8%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -45.02% · EV Under 55.18% (11 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -27.27% · EV No 22.22%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.1.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Check Odds at 1xBet

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Ekstraklasa
  • Fixture: Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-23 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.8% · Draw 32.2% · Away 21.9%
  • xG (showing): Gornik Zabrze 1.28 — Radomiak Radom 0.81 (total xG ≈ 2.09)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 65.2% · Over 2.5 34.8%); BTTS No (Yes 41.8% · No 58.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 41.8% · No 58.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (15.8%)

The decision block shows no default bet: no tracked line clears the headline minimum +EV threshold at the best prices we have (a leg can still show small +EV below that bar). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Best Bet + Reason

Skip unless odds move — the engine sees no line clearing the +EV gate.

Treat this page as a read-only diagnostic: totals/BTTS structure can be informative even when the honest answer is to wait.

Re-check after material price moves; edges appear and disappear with liquidity.

FAQ

Is the most likely correct score still relevant?

As context only: it is still a low absolute probability tail outcome (often in the single digits, sometimes low teens). It does not override the “no headline +EV” stance — treat score bets as fun-sized if you play them at all.

Should I still read the 1X2 card?

Yes — it shows whether any winner price clears value. Here it often explains why there is no headline: probabilities can be clustered while prices already embed that uncertainty.

Why is there no “best bet” on this page?

The headline engine uses a minimum +EV threshold (e.g. 2%) for a default pick. A line can still show tiny +EV that fails that bar — we still call it no default bet so readers do not over-size thin edges.

What do the grey “lean” labels mean then?

They summarise where the model tilts (e.g. Under 2.5 or BTTS No) without claiming a positive economic edge. Use them as context; size to zero unless you deliberately accept discretionary risk.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 22, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this
  • When there is no Primary line, compare the +EV rows in the market cards below (not only 1X2).
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Lech Poznan 33 16 11 6 59
2 Gornik Zabrze 33 15 8 10 53
3 Jagiellonia 33 14 11 8 53
4 Raków Częstochowa 33 15 7 11 52
5 GKS Katowice 33 14 7 12 49
6 Zaglebie Lubin 33 13 9 11 48
7 Legia Warszawa 33 11 13 9 46
8 Wisla Plock 33 12 9 12 45
9 Radomiak Radom 33 11 11 11 44
10 Pogon Szczecin 33 13 5 15 44
11 Motor Lublin 33 10 13 10 43
12 Korona Kielce 33 11 9 13 42
13 Piast Gliwice 33 11 8 14 41
14 Cracovia Krakow 33 9 14 10 41
15 Widzew Łódź 33 11 6 16 39
16 Lechia Gdansk 33 12 7 14 38
17 Arka Gdynia 33 9 9 15 36
18 Nieciecza 33 8 7 18 31
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Lech Poznan 33 60 43 +17 59
2 Lechia Gdansk 33 60 62 -2 38
3 Jagiellonia 33 55 41 +14 53
4 GKS Katowice 33 50 44 +6 49
5 Radomiak Radom 33 50 47 +3 44
6 Raków Częstochowa 33 48 40 +8 52
7 Pogon Szczecin 33 46 48 -2 44
8 Motor Lublin 33 46 49 -3 43
9 Zaglebie Lubin 33 45 37 +8 48
10 Gornik Zabrze 33 44 36 +8 53
11 Piast Gliwice 33 41 44 -3 41
12 Nieciecza 33 40 63 -23 31
13 Korona Kielce 33 39 39 0 42
14 Widzew Łódź 33 39 40 -1 39
15 Legia Warszawa 33 38 37 +1 46
16 Cracovia Krakow 33 38 41 -3 41
17 Arka Gdynia 33 34 58 -24 36
18 Wisla Plock 33 32 36 -4 45
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Lech Poznan 33 59.8 34.6 +25.2 59
2 Legia Warszawa 33 44.3 34.9 +9.4 46
3 Raków Częstochowa 33 52.1 43.1 +9.0 52
4 Piast Gliwice 33 45.4 40.2 +5.2 41
5 Lechia Gdansk 33 48.3 43.9 +4.4 38
6 Pogon Szczecin 33 52.4 48.2 +4.2 44
7 Gornik Zabrze 33 41.5 39.4 +2.1 53
8 Cracovia Krakow 33 38.1 36.2 +1.9 41
9 Widzew Łódź 33 38.2 37.2 +1.0 39
10 Korona Kielce 33 49.6 49.8 -0.2 42
11 Radomiak Radom 33 42.0 43.8 -1.8 44
12 Wisla Plock 33 41.6 44.2 -2.6 45
13 GKS Katowice 33 41.1 45.5 -4.4 49
14 Jagiellonia 33 42.4 48.3 -5.9 53
15 Zaglebie Lubin 33 33.5 42.8 -9.3 48
16 Nieciecza 33 42.4 54.9 -12.5 31
17 Motor Lublin 33 39.5 52.2 -12.7 43
18 Arka Gdynia 33 36.0 49.1 -13.1 36
Ekstraklasa Poland. Ekstraklasa Predictions
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