統計 / 足球 / 世界. 球會友誼賽 / KV 梅赫倫 vs 卡爾帕蒂

KV 梅赫倫 vs 卡爾帕蒂 Statistics & Analysis

KV 梅赫倫 KV 梅赫倫
Oct 03, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.34
3 1.26
xG Accuracy: 52%
卡爾帕蒂 卡爾帕蒂
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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (5 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 否 是 ✖ 錯誤
  • 1X2 KV 梅赫倫 卡爾帕蒂 ✖ 錯誤
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Sep 29, 2026 · 00:54 UTC 快照 ID: dp-11658513

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 卡爾帕蒂 win · KV 梅赫倫 2–3 卡爾帕蒂
预测结果 ✖ Missed
决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 球會友誼賽
  • Fixture: KV 梅赫倫 vs 卡爾帕蒂
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 27.6% · Away 34.4%
  • xG (showing): KV 梅赫倫 1.34 — 卡爾帕蒂 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.3% · Probability edge: +9.5 pts · Est. EV: +29.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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