統計 / 足球 / 英格蘭. 英格蘭足總盃 / 比里 vs 布羅姆斯格羅夫

比里 vs 布羅姆斯格羅夫 Statistics & Analysis

Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.39
1 1.21
xG Accuracy: 80%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (3 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 否 是 ✖ 錯誤
  • 1X2 比里 比里 ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:53 UTC 快照 ID: dp-11246459

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 比里 win · 比里 2–1 布羅姆斯格羅夫
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 英格蘭足總盃
  • Fixture: 比里 vs 布羅姆斯格羅夫
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): 比里 1.39 — 布羅姆斯格羅夫 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 37.4% · Probability edge: +14.4 pts · Est. EV: +34.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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