統計 / 足球 / 埃及. League Cup / 阿拉伯建築 vs 艾爾古納

阿拉伯建築 vs 艾爾古納 Statistics & Analysis

Oct 08, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.31
0 1.29
xG Accuracy: 58%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 小於2.5球 (2 進球) ✔ 正確
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 否 ✖ 錯誤
  • 1X2 阿拉伯建築 阿拉伯建築 ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Oct 02, 2026 · 01:13 UTC 快照 ID: dp-12428569

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 阿拉伯建築 win · 阿拉伯建築 2–0 艾爾古納
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 B-

模型绩效

本场预测计入:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: League Cup
  • Fixture: 阿拉伯建築 vs 艾爾古納
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-08 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): 阿拉伯建築 1.31 — 艾爾古納 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.5% · Implied: 39.3% · Probability edge: +15.2 pts · Est. EV: +30.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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