統計 / 足球 / 蘇格蘭. FA Cup / 克拉赫納庫丁 vs 邦尼里格玫瑰競技

克拉赫納庫丁 vs 邦尼里格玫瑰競技 Statistics & Analysis

克拉赫納庫丁 克拉赫納庫丁
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.38
0 1.22
xG Accuracy: 60%
邦尼里格玫瑰競技 邦尼里格玫瑰競技
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 小於2.5球 (2 進球) ✔ 正確
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 否 否 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 克拉赫納庫丁 克拉赫納庫丁 ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:50 UTC 快照 ID: dp-11245794

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 克拉赫納庫丁 win · 克拉赫納庫丁 2–0 邦尼里格玫瑰競技
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 A

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: FA Cup
  • Fixture: 克拉赫納庫丁 vs 邦尼里格玫瑰競技
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): 克拉赫納庫丁 1.38 — 邦尼里格玫瑰競技 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS No
  • Model: 45.6% · Implied: 33.9% · Probability edge: +11.7 pts · Est. EV: +31.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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