阿爾瓦布 vs 盧塞爾城 Statistics & Analysis

阿爾瓦布

Sep 29, 2026 - 17:15

1 1.36

1 1.24

xG Accuracy: 85%

盧塞爾城

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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

市場預測結果結果
大小球2.5 小於2.5球小於2.5球 (2 進球) ✔ 正確
雙方進球雙方進球 (BTTS) 否是 ✖ 錯誤
1X2 阿爾瓦布和局 ✖ 錯誤
波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Sep 23, 2026 · 02:08 UTC 快照 ID: dp-10419947

收盘赔率待定

AI 公平赔率 —

CLV 待定

最终赛果 Draw · 阿爾瓦布 1–1 盧塞爾城

预测结果 ✖ Missed

决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 卡塔爾星聯盃
Fixture: 阿爾瓦布 vs 盧塞爾城
Kickoff: 2026-09-29 17:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): 阿爾瓦布 1.36 — 盧塞爾城 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 46.5% · Probability edge: +5.3 pts · Est. EV: +7.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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