統計 / 足球 / 匈牙利. 匈牙利盃 / 吉爾莫特SE vs 查克瓦爾

吉爾莫特SE vs 查克瓦爾 Statistics & Analysis

吉爾莫特SE 吉爾莫特SE
Sep 12, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.42
0 1.18
xG Accuracy: 64%
查克瓦爾 查克瓦爾
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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 小於2.5球 (1 進球) ✔ 正確
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 否 ✖ 錯誤
  • 1X2 吉爾莫特SE 吉爾莫特SE ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:39 UTC 快照 ID: dp-7464687

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 吉爾莫特SE win · 吉爾莫特SE 1–0 查克瓦爾
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 B-

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 匈牙利盃
  • Fixture: 吉爾莫特SE vs 查克瓦爾
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
  • xG (showing): 吉爾莫特SE 1.42 — 查克瓦爾 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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