統計 / 足球 / 土庫曼. 土庫曼超級聯賽 / 阿哈尔 vs 梅爾夫

阿哈尔 vs 梅爾夫 Statistics & Analysis

阿哈尔 阿哈尔
Aug 22, 2026 - 12:45
4 1.57
0 1.03
xG Accuracy: 39%
梅爾夫 梅爾夫
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (4 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 否 ✖ 錯誤
  • 1X2 阿哈尔 阿哈尔 ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 4-0 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Aug 16, 2026 · 01:42 UTC 快照 ID: dp-4222043

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 阿哈尔 win · 阿哈尔 4–0 梅爾夫
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 土庫曼超級聯賽
  • Fixture: 阿哈尔 vs 梅爾夫
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-22 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 48.3% · Draw 28.4% · Away 23.3%
  • xG (showing): 阿哈尔 1.57 — 梅爾夫 1.03 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.5% · No 47.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.5% · No 47.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.0%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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