統計 / 足球 / 葡萄牙. 葡萄牙盃 / 萨尔盖鲁什 vs 索森塞

萨尔盖鲁什 vs 索森塞 Statistics & Analysis

萨尔盖鲁什 萨尔盖鲁什
Aug 30, 2026 - 16:00
2 1.33
1 1.27
xG Accuracy: 77%
索森塞 索森塞
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (3 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 萨尔盖鲁什 萨尔盖鲁什 ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Aug 24, 2026 · 02:20 UTC 快照 ID: dp-5300792

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 萨尔盖鲁什 win · 萨尔盖鲁什 2–1 索森塞
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 B-

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 葡萄牙盃
  • Fixture: 萨尔盖鲁什 vs 索森塞
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-30 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): 萨尔盖鲁什 1.33 — 索森塞 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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