統計 / 足球 / 波士尼亞與赫塞哥維納. 波斯尼亞甲級聯賽 - RS / 拉克塔希 vs 茲沃爾尼克德里納

拉克塔希 vs 茲沃爾尼克德里納 Statistics & Analysis

拉克塔希 拉克塔希
Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.31
1 1.29
xG Accuracy: 76%
茲沃爾尼克德里納 茲沃爾尼克德里納
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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (3 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 拉克塔希 拉克塔希 ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:20 UTC 快照 ID: dp-8688454

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 拉克塔希 win · 拉克塔希 2–1 茲沃爾尼克德里納
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 B-

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 波斯尼亞甲級聯賽 - RS
  • Fixture: 拉克塔希 vs 茲沃爾尼克德里納
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): 拉克塔希 1.31 — 茲沃爾尼克德里納 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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